Recent forecasts from multiple models show Milan's peak temperature on August 26 centering on 28–31 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly or variable winds, and moderate humidity, producing the tight market spread between 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C. Differences arise mainly from small variations in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2 °C. With no strong frontal systems or significant moisture advection expected, ensemble spread remains modest and trader consensus clusters around the most likely outcomes near the seasonal Po Valley average for late August. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 26?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 26?
29°C 40%
30°C 30%
28°C 15%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
15%
29°C
40%
30°C
30%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 40%
30°C 30%
28°C 15%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$220 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$91 Vol.
2%
27°C
$206 Vol.
5%
28°C
$301 Vol.
15%
29°C
$110 Vol.
40%
30°C
$139 Vol.
30%
31°C
$54 Vol.
8%
32°C or higher
$63 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Milan's peak temperature on August 26 centering on 28–31 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly or variable winds, and moderate humidity, producing the tight market spread between 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C. Differences arise mainly from small variations in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2 °C. With no strong frontal systems or significant moisture advection expected, ensemble spread remains modest and trader consensus clusters around the most likely outcomes near the seasonal Po Valley average for late August. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,700End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Milan's peak temperature on August 26 centering on 28–31 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly or variable winds, and moderate humidity, producing the tight market spread between 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C. Differences arise mainly from small variations in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2 °C. With no strong frontal systems or significant moisture advection expected, ensemble spread remains modest and trader consensus clusters around the most likely outcomes near the seasonal Po Valley average for late August. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,700End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models show Milan's peak temperature on August 26 centering on 28–31 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly or variable winds, and moderate humidity, producing the tight market spread between 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C. Differences arise mainly from small variations in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2 °C. With no strong frontal systems or significant moisture advection expected, ensemble spread remains modest and trader consensus clusters around the most likely outcomes near the seasonal Po Valley average for late August. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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