Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate scattered heavy rain and thunderstorms on August 26, limiting daytime heating and anchoring market-implied odds near 31–32°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and frequent convective activity typical of late August, produce modest diurnal ranges; official guidance from regional models shows maximum temperatures suppressed by cloud cover and precipitation compared to the 32–33°C climatological average high. Differentiation among the tightly bunched leading outcomes hinges on forecast timing of rainfall and model consensus on peak solar insolation, with any delay in showers or clearer breaks potentially allowing brief spikes to 33°C while stronger or earlier convection favors 31°C or below.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
32°C 34%
31°C 26%
33°C 17%
30°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
26%
32°C
34%
33°C
17%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 34%
31°C 26%
33°C 17%
30°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
$88 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,168 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,079 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,078 Vol.
4%
30°C
$366 Vol.
9%
31°C
$350 Vol.
26%
32°C
$182 Vol.
34%
33°C
$264 Vol.
17%
34°C
$479 Vol.
7%
35°C or higher
$88 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate scattered heavy rain and thunderstorms on August 26, limiting daytime heating and anchoring market-implied odds near 31–32°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and frequent convective activity typical of late August, produce modest diurnal ranges; official guidance from regional models shows maximum temperatures suppressed by cloud cover and precipitation compared to the 32–33°C climatological average high. Differentiation among the tightly bunched leading outcomes hinges on forecast timing of rainfall and model consensus on peak solar insolation, with any delay in showers or clearer breaks potentially allowing brief spikes to 33°C while stronger or earlier convection favors 31°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$6,330End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate scattered heavy rain and thunderstorms on August 26, limiting daytime heating and anchoring market-implied odds near 31–32°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and frequent convective activity typical of late August, produce modest diurnal ranges; official guidance from regional models shows maximum temperatures suppressed by cloud cover and precipitation compared to the 32–33°C climatological average high. Differentiation among the tightly bunched leading outcomes hinges on forecast timing of rainfall and model consensus on peak solar insolation, with any delay in showers or clearer breaks potentially allowing brief spikes to 33°C while stronger or earlier convection favors 31°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,330End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate scattered heavy rain and thunderstorms on August 26, limiting daytime heating and anchoring market-implied odds near 31–32°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and frequent convective activity typical of late August, produce modest diurnal ranges; official guidance from regional models shows maximum temperatures suppressed by cloud cover and precipitation compared to the 32–33°C climatological average high. Differentiation among the tightly bunched leading outcomes hinges on forecast timing of rainfall and model consensus on peak solar insolation, with any delay in showers or clearer breaks potentially allowing brief spikes to 33°C while stronger or earlier convection favors 31°C or below.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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