Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum near 31–32°C at the Incheon station on August 25 under mostly cloudy conditions and a modest 20% chance of precipitation, consistent with late-August climatology after an early-month heatwave that pushed Seoul toward 39°C. Model guidance and observational trends favor 30–31°C as the most probable daily high, reflecting reduced solar heating from cloud cover and the seasonal decline in peak temperatures. Trader positioning aligns with this range, assigning over 90% combined implied probability to those two outcomes while discounting higher values given the stabilizing atmospheric pattern and limited intensification potential before evening cooling. Updated short-range guidance and real-time station readings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
30°C 44%
31°C 41%
29°C 5%
32°C 4%
NEW
$31,128 Vol.
NEW
$31,128 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
44%
31°C
47%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
31°C 41%
29°C 5%
32°C 4%
NEW
$31,128 Vol.
NEW
$31,128 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
$211 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,105 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,766 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,904 Vol.
5%
30°C
$3,406 Vol.
44%
31°C
$4,285 Vol.
47%
32°C
$2,728 Vol.
4%
33°C
$3,543 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$810 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum near 31–32°C at the Incheon station on August 25 under mostly cloudy conditions and a modest 20% chance of precipitation, consistent with late-August climatology after an early-month heatwave that pushed Seoul toward 39°C. Model guidance and observational trends favor 30–31°C as the most probable daily high, reflecting reduced solar heating from cloud cover and the seasonal decline in peak temperatures. Trader positioning aligns with this range, assigning over 90% combined implied probability to those two outcomes while discounting higher values given the stabilizing atmospheric pattern and limited intensification potential before evening cooling. Updated short-range guidance and real-time station readings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$31,128End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum near 31–32°C at the Incheon station on August 25 under mostly cloudy conditions and a modest 20% chance of precipitation, consistent with late-August climatology after an early-month heatwave that pushed Seoul toward 39°C. Model guidance and observational trends favor 30–31°C as the most probable daily high, reflecting reduced solar heating from cloud cover and the seasonal decline in peak temperatures. Trader positioning aligns with this range, assigning over 90% combined implied probability to those two outcomes while discounting higher values given the stabilizing atmospheric pattern and limited intensification potential before evening cooling. Updated short-range guidance and real-time station readings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,128End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum near 31–32°C at the Incheon station on August 25 under mostly cloudy conditions and a modest 20% chance of precipitation, consistent with late-August climatology after an early-month heatwave that pushed Seoul toward 39°C. Model guidance and observational trends favor 30–31°C as the most probable daily high, reflecting reduced solar heating from cloud cover and the seasonal decline in peak temperatures. Trader positioning aligns with this range, assigning over 90% combined implied probability to those two outcomes while discounting higher values given the stabilizing atmospheric pattern and limited intensification potential before evening cooling. Updated short-range guidance and real-time station readings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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