Official meteorological observations from Toronto's primary reporting stations confirm a daily maximum of 22°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the latest model consensus from Environment Canada and aligning closely with seasonal normals for late August. Real-time surface data, including hourly readings and peak afternoon values under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, show no exceedance of this threshold, reinforcing the near-certain market-implied probability. Minor variations in microclimate or station-specific calibration remain the only plausible variables that could shift resolution, though verified records make such revisions highly unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$56,263 Vol.
$56,263 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$56,263 Vol.
$56,263 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations from Toronto's primary reporting stations confirm a daily maximum of 22°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the latest model consensus from Environment Canada and aligning closely with seasonal normals for late August. Real-time surface data, including hourly readings and peak afternoon values under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, show no exceedance of this threshold, reinforcing the near-certain market-implied probability. Minor variations in microclimate or station-specific calibration remain the only plausible variables that could shift resolution, though verified records make such revisions highly unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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