Latest National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts show the highest probabilities of measurable rain on August 24 concentrated in the Southeast and parts of the Northeast, driven by afternoon thunderstorm activity amid above-normal moisture and weak steering patterns. South Florida faces a 50% chance of scattered, locally heavy storms typical of the rainy season, while Mississippi and surrounding areas carry 70-80% odds with a marginal severe risk from wind gusts. Northeast locations such as Albany and Buffalo show 80-90% chances tied to thundershowers. Scattered afternoon storms are also expected across parts of Colorado, Wyoming, and Hawaii, with lower odds in the Midwest and Texas. Model consensus emphasizes localized variability, where some neighborhoods receive rain while adjacent areas stay dry; traders should monitor updated NWS short-range guidance and radar trends for resolution thresholds tied to official station measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on August 24?
Where will it rain on August 24?
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
New York, NY
28%
Los Angeles, CA
1%
Chicago, IL
2%
Houston, TX
1%
Dallas, TX
1%
Phoenix, AZ
98%
Philadelphia, PA
27%
Denver, CO
51%
Washington, DC
25%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
100%
Seattle, WA
3%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
100%
San Francisco, CA
3%
$3,470 Vol.
New York, NY
$95 Vol.
28%
Los Angeles, CA
$283 Vol.
1%
Chicago, IL
$115 Vol.
2%
Houston, TX
$288 Vol.
1%
Dallas, TX
$203 Vol.
1%
Phoenix, AZ
$890 Vol.
98%
Philadelphia, PA
$25 Vol.
27%
Denver, CO
$60 Vol.
51%
Washington, DC
$5 Vol.
25%
Atlanta, GA
$0 Vol.
50%
Miami, FL
$488 Vol.
100%
Seattle, WA
$133 Vol.
3%
Boston, MA
$55 Vol.
50%
New Orleans, LA
$673 Vol.
100%
San Francisco, CA
$157 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York, NY records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Los Angeles, CA records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KLAX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KLAX.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chicago, IL records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMDW: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMDW.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houston, TX records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KIAH: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KIAH.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dallas, TX records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDFW: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDFW.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoenix, AZ records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHX.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Philadelphia, PA records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHL: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHL.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Denver, CO records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDEN: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDEN.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Washington, DC records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDCA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDCA.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Atlanta, GA records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KATL: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KATL.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Miami, FL records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMIA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMIA.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Seattle, WA records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSEA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSEA.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Boston, MA records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KBOS: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KBOS.This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Orleans, LA records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMSY: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMSY.This market will resolve to "Yes" if San Francisco, CA records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSFO: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSFO.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts show the highest probabilities of measurable rain on August 24 concentrated in the Southeast and parts of the Northeast, driven by afternoon thunderstorm activity amid above-normal moisture and weak steering patterns. South Florida faces a 50% chance of scattered, locally heavy storms typical of the rainy season, while Mississippi and surrounding areas carry 70-80% odds with a marginal severe risk from wind gusts. Northeast locations such as Albany and Buffalo show 80-90% chances tied to thundershowers. Scattered afternoon storms are also expected across parts of Colorado, Wyoming, and Hawaii, with lower odds in the Midwest and Texas. Model consensus emphasizes localized variability, where some neighborhoods receive rain while adjacent areas stay dry; traders should monitor updated NWS short-range guidance and radar trends for resolution thresholds tied to official station measurements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York, NY records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Volume
$3,470End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 7:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if New York, NY records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Los Angeles, CA records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KLAX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KLAX.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chicago, IL records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMDW: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMDW.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houston, TX records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KIAH: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KIAH.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dallas, TX records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDFW: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDFW.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoenix, AZ records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHX.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Philadelphia, PA records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHL: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHL.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Denver, CO records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDEN: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDEN.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Washington, DC records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDCA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDCA.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Atlanta, GA records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KATL: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KATL.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Miami, FL records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMIA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMIA.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Seattle, WA records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSEA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSEA.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Boston, MA records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KBOS: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KBOS.This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Orleans, LA records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMSY: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMSY.This market will resolve to "Yes" if San Francisco, CA records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSFO: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSFO.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts show the highest probabilities of measurable rain on August 24 concentrated in the Southeast and parts of the Northeast, driven by afternoon thunderstorm activity amid above-normal moisture and weak steering patterns. South Florida faces a 50% chance of scattered, locally heavy storms typical of the rainy season, while Mississippi and surrounding areas carry 70-80% odds with a marginal severe risk from wind gusts. Northeast locations such as Albany and Buffalo show 80-90% chances tied to thundershowers. Scattered afternoon storms are also expected across parts of Colorado, Wyoming, and Hawaii, with lower odds in the Midwest and Texas. Model consensus emphasizes localized variability, where some neighborhoods receive rain while adjacent areas stay dry; traders should monitor updated NWS short-range guidance and radar trends for resolution thresholds tied to official station measurements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York, NY records measurable precipitation on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
Volume
$3,470End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 7:09 AM ETLatest National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts show the highest probabilities of measurable rain on August 24 concentrated in the Southeast and parts of the Northeast, driven by afternoon thunderstorm activity amid above-normal moisture and weak steering patterns. South Florida faces a 50% chance of scattered, locally heavy storms typical of the rainy season, while Mississippi and surrounding areas carry 70-80% odds with a marginal severe risk from wind gusts. Northeast locations such as Albany and Buffalo show 80-90% chances tied to thundershowers. Scattered afternoon storms are also expected across parts of Colorado, Wyoming, and Hawaii, with lower odds in the Midwest and Texas. Model consensus emphasizes localized variability, where some neighborhoods receive rain while adjacent areas stay dry; traders should monitor updated NWS short-range guidance and radar trends for resolution thresholds tied to official station measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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