Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 32–33°C because ensemble forecast models project a typical late-August maximum for Kuala Lumpur amid strengthening El Niño conditions that favor reduced rainfall and clearer skies. Historical August highs average near 32°C, with daily ranges of 8–12°C driven by high humidity and solar heating near the equator; however, timing of isolated thunderstorms can suppress afternoon peaks by several degrees. Recent model runs show minor spread on cloud cover and wind patterns, creating genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes while keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher low. Updated Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance and global model releases over the next 48 hours will likely refine these short-term projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 26?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 26?
32°C 34%
33°C 32%
34°C 13%
31°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
34%
33°C
32%
34°C
13%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
33°C 32%
34°C 13%
31°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
27°C or below
$240 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$80 Vol.
1%
30°C
$534 Vol.
4%
31°C
$840 Vol.
11%
32°C
$104 Vol.
34%
33°C
$297 Vol.
32%
34°C
$151 Vol.
13%
35°C
$763 Vol.
4%
36°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$104 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 32–33°C because ensemble forecast models project a typical late-August maximum for Kuala Lumpur amid strengthening El Niño conditions that favor reduced rainfall and clearer skies. Historical August highs average near 32°C, with daily ranges of 8–12°C driven by high humidity and solar heating near the equator; however, timing of isolated thunderstorms can suppress afternoon peaks by several degrees. Recent model runs show minor spread on cloud cover and wind patterns, creating genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes while keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher low. Updated Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance and global model releases over the next 48 hours will likely refine these short-term projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,328End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 32–33°C because ensemble forecast models project a typical late-August maximum for Kuala Lumpur amid strengthening El Niño conditions that favor reduced rainfall and clearer skies. Historical August highs average near 32°C, with daily ranges of 8–12°C driven by high humidity and solar heating near the equator; however, timing of isolated thunderstorms can suppress afternoon peaks by several degrees. Recent model runs show minor spread on cloud cover and wind patterns, creating genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes while keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher low. Updated Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance and global model releases over the next 48 hours will likely refine these short-term projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,328End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 32–33°C because ensemble forecast models project a typical late-August maximum for Kuala Lumpur amid strengthening El Niño conditions that favor reduced rainfall and clearer skies. Historical August highs average near 32°C, with daily ranges of 8–12°C driven by high humidity and solar heating near the equator; however, timing of isolated thunderstorms can suppress afternoon peaks by several degrees. Recent model runs show minor spread on cloud cover and wind patterns, creating genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes while keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher low. Updated Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance and global model releases over the next 48 hours will likely refine these short-term projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions