Trader consensus on 31°C as Taipei’s highest temperature on August 24 rests on subtropical monsoon climatology and short-range model guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and AccuWeather. Late-August conditions typically produce daytime maxima of 30–33 °C under moderate southwesterly flow, with historical station averages centering near 31–32 °C at Songshan Airport. Recent forecasts projected a narrow 29–32 °C envelope absent strong convective suppression or clear-sky radiative heating, keeping the outcome bracket tightly aligned with the observed record. Minor deviations remain possible if unforecasted afternoon thunderstorms or a transient frontal passage alter boundary-layer mixing, though ensemble spread shows low probability of such shifts pushing the daily high outside the 31 °C resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
31°C 99.8%
$169,128 Vol.
$169,128 Vol.
31°C
100%
31°C 99.8%
$169,128 Vol.
$169,128 Vol.
31°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 31°C as Taipei’s highest temperature on August 24 rests on subtropical monsoon climatology and short-range model guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and AccuWeather. Late-August conditions typically produce daytime maxima of 30–33 °C under moderate southwesterly flow, with historical station averages centering near 31–32 °C at Songshan Airport. Recent forecasts projected a narrow 29–32 °C envelope absent strong convective suppression or clear-sky radiative heating, keeping the outcome bracket tightly aligned with the observed record. Minor deviations remain possible if unforecasted afternoon thunderstorms or a transient frontal passage alter boundary-layer mixing, though ensemble spread shows low probability of such shifts pushing the daily high outside the 31 °C resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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