**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including the UK Met Office and WeatherBug, indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C for Karachi on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 15–16 mph.** This aligns with the market’s leading outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating between 29–32°C through late August, consistent with the month’s climatological average of roughly 31°C amid the southwest monsoon season, when coastal humidity and sea breezes typically cap extreme heat. **Model consensus points to stable conditions without significant intensification or monsoon surges that could push readings higher or suppress them.** Historical data for the period rarely exceeds 33–34°C without clear synoptic drivers, supporting the tight clustering of probabilities around 31–33°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest numerical weather prediction runs, which favor the 32°C threshold as the most probable daily maximum under prevailing atmospheric patterns. New forecast updates from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours represent the primary near-term catalyst that could shift these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 26?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 26?
32°C 50%
31°C 20%
33°C 17%
30°C 6.7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
20%
32°C
50%
33°C
17%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 50%
31°C 20%
33°C 17%
30°C 6.7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
$79 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$380 Vol.
1%
29°C
$140 Vol.
2%
30°C
$324 Vol.
7%
31°C
$345 Vol.
20%
32°C
$1,344 Vol.
50%
33°C
$977 Vol.
17%
34°C
$125 Vol.
3%
35°C
$28 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$172 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including the UK Met Office and WeatherBug, indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C for Karachi on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 15–16 mph.** This aligns with the market’s leading outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating between 29–32°C through late August, consistent with the month’s climatological average of roughly 31°C amid the southwest monsoon season, when coastal humidity and sea breezes typically cap extreme heat.
**Model consensus points to stable conditions without significant intensification or monsoon surges that could push readings higher or suppress them.** Historical data for the period rarely exceeds 33–34°C without clear synoptic drivers, supporting the tight clustering of probabilities around 31–33°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest numerical weather prediction runs, which favor the 32°C threshold as the most probable daily maximum under prevailing atmospheric patterns. New forecast updates from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours represent the primary near-term catalyst that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$3,980End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including the UK Met Office and WeatherBug, indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C for Karachi on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 15–16 mph.** This aligns with the market’s leading outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating between 29–32°C through late August, consistent with the month’s climatological average of roughly 31°C amid the southwest monsoon season, when coastal humidity and sea breezes typically cap extreme heat.
**Model consensus points to stable conditions without significant intensification or monsoon surges that could push readings higher or suppress them.** Historical data for the period rarely exceeds 33–34°C without clear synoptic drivers, supporting the tight clustering of probabilities around 31–33°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest numerical weather prediction runs, which favor the 32°C threshold as the most probable daily maximum under prevailing atmospheric patterns. New forecast updates from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours represent the primary near-term catalyst that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,980End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including the UK Met Office and WeatherBug, indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C for Karachi on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 15–16 mph.** This aligns with the market’s leading outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating between 29–32°C through late August, consistent with the month’s climatological average of roughly 31°C amid the southwest monsoon season, when coastal humidity and sea breezes typically cap extreme heat. **Model consensus points to stable conditions without significant intensification or monsoon surges that could push readings higher or suppress them.** Historical data for the period rarely exceeds 33–34°C without clear synoptic drivers, supporting the tight clustering of probabilities around 31–33°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest numerical weather prediction runs, which favor the 32°C threshold as the most probable daily maximum under prevailing atmospheric patterns. New forecast updates from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours represent the primary near-term catalyst that could shift these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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