Recent real-time observations from Munich-area stations and consensus from numerical weather models, including GFS runs, show surface temperatures peaking near 24 °C during the afternoon under mostly cloudy skies, moderate easterly flow, and dew points in the low teens °C. This aligns closely with the long-term August 24 climatological normal of 23.4 °C and explains the market’s near-certain pricing on that exact outcome. A modest diurnal range, limited insolation from cloud cover, and absence of strong warm advection have kept readings from exceeding or falling short of this threshold. Only an unexpected late-day clearing combined with stronger southerly winds or a localized station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the official daily maximum away from 24 °C before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 24?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 24?
24°C 100.0%
$69,945 Vol.
$69,945 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
24°C
100%
24°C 100.0%
$69,945 Vol.
$69,945 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
24°C
$11,551 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent real-time observations from Munich-area stations and consensus from numerical weather models, including GFS runs, show surface temperatures peaking near 24 °C during the afternoon under mostly cloudy skies, moderate easterly flow, and dew points in the low teens °C. This aligns closely with the long-term August 24 climatological normal of 23.4 °C and explains the market’s near-certain pricing on that exact outcome. A modest diurnal range, limited insolation from cloud cover, and absence of strong warm advection have kept readings from exceeding or falling short of this threshold. Only an unexpected late-day clearing combined with stronger southerly winds or a localized station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the official daily maximum away from 24 °C before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$69,945End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent real-time observations from Munich-area stations and consensus from numerical weather models, including GFS runs, show surface temperatures peaking near 24 °C during the afternoon under mostly cloudy skies, moderate easterly flow, and dew points in the low teens °C. This aligns closely with the long-term August 24 climatological normal of 23.4 °C and explains the market’s near-certain pricing on that exact outcome. A modest diurnal range, limited insolation from cloud cover, and absence of strong warm advection have kept readings from exceeding or falling short of this threshold. Only an unexpected late-day clearing combined with stronger southerly winds or a localized station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the official daily maximum away from 24 °C before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69,945End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent real-time observations from Munich-area stations and consensus from numerical weather models, including GFS runs, show surface temperatures peaking near 24 °C during the afternoon under mostly cloudy skies, moderate easterly flow, and dew points in the low teens °C. This aligns closely with the long-term August 24 climatological normal of 23.4 °C and explains the market’s near-certain pricing on that exact outcome. A modest diurnal range, limited insolation from cloud cover, and absence of strong warm advection have kept readings from exceeding or falling short of this threshold. Only an unexpected late-day clearing combined with stronger southerly winds or a localized station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the official daily maximum away from 24 °C before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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