**Forecast models and recent observations position 38–39°C+ as the leading outcomes for Jeddah’s daily high on August 26, 2026.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug and Worldmeteo, project a high near 101°F (38.3°C) or 39°C under mostly sunny conditions with light westerly winds and typical Red Sea humidity. This aligns with Jeddah’s August climatology of average highs around 36–38°C and a +2.2°C temperature departure from normal observed so far this month, with recent peaks reaching the low 40s°C. Traders assign roughly 80% combined implied probability to 38°C or higher, reflecting the narrow range between current model consensus and historical summer extremes while acknowledging minor forecast variability in peak timing or localized effects. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine exact resolution against official measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 26?
39°C or higher 49%
38°C 32%
37°C 16%
36°C 5%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
5%
37°C
16%
38°C
32%
39°C or higher
49%
39°C or higher 49%
38°C 32%
37°C 16%
36°C 5%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
5%
37°C
16%
38°C
32%
39°C or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and recent observations position 38–39°C+ as the leading outcomes for Jeddah’s daily high on August 26, 2026.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug and Worldmeteo, project a high near 101°F (38.3°C) or 39°C under mostly sunny conditions with light westerly winds and typical Red Sea humidity. This aligns with Jeddah’s August climatology of average highs around 36–38°C and a +2.2°C temperature departure from normal observed so far this month, with recent peaks reaching the low 40s°C. Traders assign roughly 80% combined implied probability to 38°C or higher, reflecting the narrow range between current model consensus and historical summer extremes while acknowledging minor forecast variability in peak timing or localized effects. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine exact resolution against official measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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