National Weather Service observations and model consensus established an afternoon peak in the low 90s for Miami International Airport on August 24, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with moderate humidity, sea-breeze moderation, and limited convective suppression. This aligned precisely with the 90-91°F bracket that captured essentially all trader capital, reflecting the market’s aggregation of real-time NOAA station data and climatological norms near 91°F. Minor forecast revisions or localized microclimate variations at the official sensor could still shift the final recorded maximum into an adjacent bin, though such adjustments remain statistically rare once preliminary readings stabilize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 24?
90-91°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$76,121 Vol.
$76,121 Vol.
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
100%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$76,121 Vol.
$76,121 Vol.
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
100%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service observations and model consensus established an afternoon peak in the low 90s for Miami International Airport on August 24, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with moderate humidity, sea-breeze moderation, and limited convective suppression. This aligned precisely with the 90-91°F bracket that captured essentially all trader capital, reflecting the market’s aggregation of real-time NOAA station data and climatological norms near 91°F. Minor forecast revisions or localized microclimate variations at the official sensor could still shift the final recorded maximum into an adjacent bin, though such adjustments remain statistically rare once preliminary readings stabilize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions