Official National Weather Service observations from New York-area stations, including a verified daily maximum of 81°F at LaGuardia, established the 80-81°F bin as the clear outcome for August 24. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and above-normal rainfall—Central Park recorded over 8 inches for the month through August 23—suppressed daytime heating below the 82.3°F climatological average and prevented any late-summer heat surge. Model guidance and real-time surface data converged on this range well ahead of resolution, allowing traders to assign near-certain probability. Minor station-to-station differences from urban heat-island effects or measurement timing remain the only realistic variables that could shift the final certified Central Park value outside the dominant bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 24?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 24?
80-81°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$94,383 Vol.
$94,383 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$94,383 Vol.
$94,383 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
67°F or below
$78 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$334 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$3,824 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$7,928 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$19,408 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$23,226 Vol.
100%
82-83°F
$15,278 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$16,448 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$7,702 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from New York-area stations, including a verified daily maximum of 81°F at LaGuardia, established the 80-81°F bin as the clear outcome for August 24. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and above-normal rainfall—Central Park recorded over 8 inches for the month through August 23—suppressed daytime heating below the 82.3°F climatological average and prevented any late-summer heat surge. Model guidance and real-time surface data converged on this range well ahead of resolution, allowing traders to assign near-certain probability. Minor station-to-station differences from urban heat-island effects or measurement timing remain the only realistic variables that could shift the final certified Central Park value outside the dominant bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$94,383End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from New York-area stations, including a verified daily maximum of 81°F at LaGuardia, established the 80-81°F bin as the clear outcome for August 24. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and above-normal rainfall—Central Park recorded over 8 inches for the month through August 23—suppressed daytime heating below the 82.3°F climatological average and prevented any late-summer heat surge. Model guidance and real-time surface data converged on this range well ahead of resolution, allowing traders to assign near-certain probability. Minor station-to-station differences from urban heat-island effects or measurement timing remain the only realistic variables that could shift the final certified Central Park value outside the dominant bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$94,383End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations from New York-area stations, including a verified daily maximum of 81°F at LaGuardia, established the 80-81°F bin as the clear outcome for August 24. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and above-normal rainfall—Central Park recorded over 8 inches for the month through August 23—suppressed daytime heating below the 82.3°F climatological average and prevented any late-summer heat surge. Model guidance and real-time surface data converged on this range well ahead of resolution, allowing traders to assign near-certain probability. Minor station-to-station differences from urban heat-island effects or measurement timing remain the only realistic variables that could shift the final certified Central Park value outside the dominant bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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