National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate sunny conditions for New York City on August 25 with a daytime high in the lower 80s, driven by west-northwest winds and limited cloud cover that favor moderate daytime heating. Recent observations show temperatures near seasonal norms, with an average August 25 high of 82°F serving as climatological context. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins, centers on minor forecast uncertainties including exact peak timing, subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, and potential localized effects from urban heat islands or brief afternoon cumulus development. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 25?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 25?
78-79°F 42%
80-81°F 37%
76-77°F 12%
82-83°F 8%
NEW
$16,048 Vol.
NEW
$16,048 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 42%
80-81°F 37%
76-77°F 12%
82-83°F 8%
NEW
$16,048 Vol.
NEW
$16,048 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
67°F or below
$208 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$288 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$588 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$408 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$921 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$2,693 Vol.
12%
78-79°F
$7,541 Vol.
42%
80-81°F
$1,747 Vol.
37%
82-83°F
$783 Vol.
8%
84-85°F
$553 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$318 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate sunny conditions for New York City on August 25 with a daytime high in the lower 80s, driven by west-northwest winds and limited cloud cover that favor moderate daytime heating. Recent observations show temperatures near seasonal norms, with an average August 25 high of 82°F serving as climatological context. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins, centers on minor forecast uncertainties including exact peak timing, subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, and potential localized effects from urban heat islands or brief afternoon cumulus development. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$16,048End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate sunny conditions for New York City on August 25 with a daytime high in the lower 80s, driven by west-northwest winds and limited cloud cover that favor moderate daytime heating. Recent observations show temperatures near seasonal norms, with an average August 25 high of 82°F serving as climatological context. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins, centers on minor forecast uncertainties including exact peak timing, subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, and potential localized effects from urban heat islands or brief afternoon cumulus development. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,048End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate sunny conditions for New York City on August 25 with a daytime high in the lower 80s, driven by west-northwest winds and limited cloud cover that favor moderate daytime heating. Recent observations show temperatures near seasonal norms, with an average August 25 high of 82°F serving as climatological context. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins, centers on minor forecast uncertainties including exact peak timing, subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, and potential localized effects from urban heat islands or brief afternoon cumulus development. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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