Forecast models from agencies tracking Shenzhen’s humid subtropical monsoon climate project a daily maximum of 31°C on August 24, driven by partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds that curb surface heating under typical late-summer conditions. This aligns with climatological baselines of 31–32°C highs and recent observational trends showing limited radiative warming. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 31°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or stronger subsidence could allow temperatures to reach 32°C or higher, while an earlier or more intense storm cell might cap the peak below the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
31°C 99.5%
$73,358 Vol.
$73,358 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
31°C
100%
31°C 99.5%
$73,358 Vol.
$73,358 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
31°C
$23,672 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking Shenzhen’s humid subtropical monsoon climate project a daily maximum of 31°C on August 24, driven by partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds that curb surface heating under typical late-summer conditions. This aligns with climatological baselines of 31–32°C highs and recent observational trends showing limited radiative warming. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 31°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or stronger subsidence could allow temperatures to reach 32°C or higher, while an earlier or more intense storm cell might cap the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$73,358End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking Shenzhen’s humid subtropical monsoon climate project a daily maximum of 31°C on August 24, driven by partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds that curb surface heating under typical late-summer conditions. This aligns with climatological baselines of 31–32°C highs and recent observational trends showing limited radiative warming. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 31°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or stronger subsidence could allow temperatures to reach 32°C or higher, while an earlier or more intense storm cell might cap the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$73,358End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies tracking Shenzhen’s humid subtropical monsoon climate project a daily maximum of 31°C on August 24, driven by partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds that curb surface heating under typical late-summer conditions. This aligns with climatological baselines of 31–32°C highs and recent observational trends showing limited radiative warming. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 31°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or stronger subsidence could allow temperatures to reach 32°C or higher, while an earlier or more intense storm cell might cap the peak below the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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