Trader sentiment for Taipei’s August 25 high centers on the Central Weather Administration forecast of 26–30 °C amid cloudy skies and scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating. Persistent subtropical moisture and frequent afternoon convection are expected to cap the peak, favoring the tightly bunched 30–32 °C outcomes that together exceed 85 % implied probability. Model consensus shows limited diurnal temperature rise once cloud cover builds, while any delay in rainfall or brief clearing could briefly push readings toward 33 °C. Historical late-August baselines near 32–34 °C are tempered this year by the active monsoon trough, creating the narrow spread among leading resolutions. Updated CWA guidance and real-time observations will refine the final recorded maximum before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 25?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 25?
31°C 35%
32°C 28%
30°C 23%
29°C 10%
NEW
$48,732 Vol.
NEW
$48,732 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
10%
30°C
23%
31°C
35%
32°C
28%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 35%
32°C 28%
30°C 23%
29°C 10%
NEW
$48,732 Vol.
NEW
$48,732 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$194 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$772 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$9,065 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$9,479 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,287 Vol.
10%
30°C
$2,310 Vol.
23%
31°C
$2,825 Vol.
35%
32°C
$3,781 Vol.
28%
33°C
$2,018 Vol.
8%
34°C
$2,379 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$10,623 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Taipei’s August 25 high centers on the Central Weather Administration forecast of 26–30 °C amid cloudy skies and scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating. Persistent subtropical moisture and frequent afternoon convection are expected to cap the peak, favoring the tightly bunched 30–32 °C outcomes that together exceed 85 % implied probability. Model consensus shows limited diurnal temperature rise once cloud cover builds, while any delay in rainfall or brief clearing could briefly push readings toward 33 °C. Historical late-August baselines near 32–34 °C are tempered this year by the active monsoon trough, creating the narrow spread among leading resolutions. Updated CWA guidance and real-time observations will refine the final recorded maximum before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$48,732End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Taipei’s August 25 high centers on the Central Weather Administration forecast of 26–30 °C amid cloudy skies and scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating. Persistent subtropical moisture and frequent afternoon convection are expected to cap the peak, favoring the tightly bunched 30–32 °C outcomes that together exceed 85 % implied probability. Model consensus shows limited diurnal temperature rise once cloud cover builds, while any delay in rainfall or brief clearing could briefly push readings toward 33 °C. Historical late-August baselines near 32–34 °C are tempered this year by the active monsoon trough, creating the narrow spread among leading resolutions. Updated CWA guidance and real-time observations will refine the final recorded maximum before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48,732End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Taipei’s August 25 high centers on the Central Weather Administration forecast of 26–30 °C amid cloudy skies and scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating. Persistent subtropical moisture and frequent afternoon convection are expected to cap the peak, favoring the tightly bunched 30–32 °C outcomes that together exceed 85 % implied probability. Model consensus shows limited diurnal temperature rise once cloud cover builds, while any delay in rainfall or brief clearing could briefly push readings toward 33 °C. Historical late-August baselines near 32–34 °C are tempered this year by the active monsoon trough, creating the narrow spread among leading resolutions. Updated CWA guidance and real-time observations will refine the final recorded maximum before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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