**Trader consensus has converged on 34°C as the highest temperature recorded in Guangzhou on August 24, 2026, reflecting verified observations from the primary meteorological station at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport.** In the region's subtropical monsoon climate, afternoon peaks typically reach around the climatological average high of 33.1°C for the date, shaped by high solar insolation, humidity-driven convection, and the urban heat island effect across the Pearl River Delta. Moderate rainfall on the day suppressed further warming, keeping readings near seasonal norms rather than the historical extremes above 35°C seen in drier years. The near-certain market-implied probability underscores the reliability of official station data over earlier forecast spreads. Only a significant revision in the resolution source or an undetected measurement anomaly at the station could realistically alter the outcome before final confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
34°C 100.0%
$69,184 Vol.
$69,184 Vol.
34°C
100%
34°C 100.0%
$69,184 Vol.
$69,184 Vol.
34°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on 34°C as the highest temperature recorded in Guangzhou on August 24, 2026, reflecting verified observations from the primary meteorological station at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport.** In the region's subtropical monsoon climate, afternoon peaks typically reach around the climatological average high of 33.1°C for the date, shaped by high solar insolation, humidity-driven convection, and the urban heat island effect across the Pearl River Delta. Moderate rainfall on the day suppressed further warming, keeping readings near seasonal norms rather than the historical extremes above 35°C seen in drier years. The near-certain market-implied probability underscores the reliability of official station data over earlier forecast spreads. Only a significant revision in the resolution source or an undetected measurement anomaly at the station could realistically alter the outcome before final confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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