**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24, 2026, is overwhelmingly concentrated on 27°C (98.9% implied probability).** This reflects official station observations recording a daily minimum of approximately 26.6°C, consistent with the 27°C resolution bin under standard rounding or reporting conventions used by Chinese meteorological authorities. Persistent cloud cover, high relative humidity (often exceeding 90%), and moderate rainfall from a regional rain event suppressed nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to clearer historical analogs. Average August low temperatures in Guangzhou hover near 25–26°C, but the day's conditions aligned closely with the observed 26.6–27°C range, reinforced by real-time data from the Guangzhou weather station. Realistic scenarios that could challenge this outcome include revised official measurements showing a precise 26°C minimum due to station-specific timing or microclimate effects, or post-event data corrections. However, the strong observational consensus and alignment with contemporaneous forecasts from agencies like the Guangdong Meteorological Service have anchored the dominant market positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
27°C 98.0%
26°C 2%
28°C <1%
$4,516 Vol.
$4,516 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
26°C
2%
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
27°C 98.0%
26°C 2%
28°C <1%
$4,516 Vol.
$4,516 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
26°C
$128 Vol.
2%
27°C
$615 Vol.
98%
28°C
$350 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24, 2026, is overwhelmingly concentrated on 27°C (98.9% implied probability).** This reflects official station observations recording a daily minimum of approximately 26.6°C, consistent with the 27°C resolution bin under standard rounding or reporting conventions used by Chinese meteorological authorities.
Persistent cloud cover, high relative humidity (often exceeding 90%), and moderate rainfall from a regional rain event suppressed nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to clearer historical analogs. Average August low temperatures in Guangzhou hover near 25–26°C, but the day's conditions aligned closely with the observed 26.6–27°C range, reinforced by real-time data from the Guangzhou weather station.
Realistic scenarios that could challenge this outcome include revised official measurements showing a precise 26°C minimum due to station-specific timing or microclimate effects, or post-event data corrections. However, the strong observational consensus and alignment with contemporaneous forecasts from agencies like the Guangdong Meteorological Service have anchored the dominant market positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$4,516End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24, 2026, is overwhelmingly concentrated on 27°C (98.9% implied probability).** This reflects official station observations recording a daily minimum of approximately 26.6°C, consistent with the 27°C resolution bin under standard rounding or reporting conventions used by Chinese meteorological authorities.
Persistent cloud cover, high relative humidity (often exceeding 90%), and moderate rainfall from a regional rain event suppressed nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to clearer historical analogs. Average August low temperatures in Guangzhou hover near 25–26°C, but the day's conditions aligned closely with the observed 26.6–27°C range, reinforced by real-time data from the Guangzhou weather station.
Realistic scenarios that could challenge this outcome include revised official measurements showing a precise 26°C minimum due to station-specific timing or microclimate effects, or post-event data corrections. However, the strong observational consensus and alignment with contemporaneous forecasts from agencies like the Guangdong Meteorological Service have anchored the dominant market positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,516End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24, 2026, is overwhelmingly concentrated on 27°C (98.9% implied probability).** This reflects official station observations recording a daily minimum of approximately 26.6°C, consistent with the 27°C resolution bin under standard rounding or reporting conventions used by Chinese meteorological authorities. Persistent cloud cover, high relative humidity (often exceeding 90%), and moderate rainfall from a regional rain event suppressed nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to clearer historical analogs. Average August low temperatures in Guangzhou hover near 25–26°C, but the day's conditions aligned closely with the observed 26.6–27°C range, reinforced by real-time data from the Guangzhou weather station. Realistic scenarios that could challenge this outcome include revised official measurements showing a precise 26°C minimum due to station-specific timing or microclimate effects, or post-event data corrections. However, the strong observational consensus and alignment with contemporaneous forecasts from agencies like the Guangdong Meteorological Service have anchored the dominant market positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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