Official forecasts from French meteorological services and international models show Paris under a stable, cloudy regime with daytime heating limited by persistent cloud cover and light easterly winds, driving an afternoon maximum near 27–28 °C. This aligns closely with the 27 °C market outcome at 99.8 % implied probability, reflecting strong consensus across model runs and real-time surface observations. Historical August averages near 24.6 °C provide context for the modest above-normal reading. Only a late-day thunderstorm outbreak or rapid increase in low-level moisture could realistically suppress the peak below 27 °C, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such developments before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 24?
27°C 99.8%
$104,061 Vol.
$104,061 Vol.
27°C
100%
27°C 99.8%
$104,061 Vol.
$104,061 Vol.
27°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from French meteorological services and international models show Paris under a stable, cloudy regime with daytime heating limited by persistent cloud cover and light easterly winds, driving an afternoon maximum near 27–28 °C. This aligns closely with the 27 °C market outcome at 99.8 % implied probability, reflecting strong consensus across model runs and real-time surface observations. Historical August averages near 24.6 °C provide context for the modest above-normal reading. Only a late-day thunderstorm outbreak or rapid increase in low-level moisture could realistically suppress the peak below 27 °C, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such developments before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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