Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations indicate a peak temperature near 33°C on August 24, driven by a broad low-pressure trough enhancing southerly flow and limited daytime heating amid increasing showers and thunderstorms. Official guidance pegged the daily maximum around 32°C with high humidity and convective activity, yet district readings climbed steadily through midday, supporting trader consensus on the 33°C threshold as the most likely recorded high at primary stations. Model consensus from regional numerical weather prediction systems aligns on this outcome given stable steering patterns and minimal deviation in ensemble runs. Scenarios that could alter resolution include stronger or earlier convective outbreaks suppressing the peak below the threshold or localized heating pushing isolated stations higher, though such shifts appear unlikely given persistent cloud cover and official monitoring criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$178,879 Vol.
$178,879 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$178,879 Vol.
$178,879 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
$416 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,328 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$490 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,239 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,067 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,074 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$14,740 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$55,734 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$42,353 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$30,107 Vol.
100%
34°C or higher
$19,332 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations indicate a peak temperature near 33°C on August 24, driven by a broad low-pressure trough enhancing southerly flow and limited daytime heating amid increasing showers and thunderstorms. Official guidance pegged the daily maximum around 32°C with high humidity and convective activity, yet district readings climbed steadily through midday, supporting trader consensus on the 33°C threshold as the most likely recorded high at primary stations. Model consensus from regional numerical weather prediction systems aligns on this outcome given stable steering patterns and minimal deviation in ensemble runs. Scenarios that could alter resolution include stronger or earlier convective outbreaks suppressing the peak below the threshold or localized heating pushing isolated stations higher, though such shifts appear unlikely given persistent cloud cover and official monitoring criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$178,879End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations indicate a peak temperature near 33°C on August 24, driven by a broad low-pressure trough enhancing southerly flow and limited daytime heating amid increasing showers and thunderstorms. Official guidance pegged the daily maximum around 32°C with high humidity and convective activity, yet district readings climbed steadily through midday, supporting trader consensus on the 33°C threshold as the most likely recorded high at primary stations. Model consensus from regional numerical weather prediction systems aligns on this outcome given stable steering patterns and minimal deviation in ensemble runs. Scenarios that could alter resolution include stronger or earlier convective outbreaks suppressing the peak below the threshold or localized heating pushing isolated stations higher, though such shifts appear unlikely given persistent cloud cover and official monitoring criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$178,879End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations indicate a peak temperature near 33°C on August 24, driven by a broad low-pressure trough enhancing southerly flow and limited daytime heating amid increasing showers and thunderstorms. Official guidance pegged the daily maximum around 32°C with high humidity and convective activity, yet district readings climbed steadily through midday, supporting trader consensus on the 33°C threshold as the most likely recorded high at primary stations. Model consensus from regional numerical weather prediction systems aligns on this outcome given stable steering patterns and minimal deviation in ensemble runs. Scenarios that could alter resolution include stronger or earlier convective outbreaks suppressing the peak below the threshold or localized heating pushing isolated stations higher, though such shifts appear unlikely given persistent cloud cover and official monitoring criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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