Forecasts from Météo-France, AccuWeather, and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum of 27–28°C in Paris on August 25, 2026, with morning lows near 17°C under partly cloudy skies and a slight chance of showers. This narrow range drives the near-even market split between 28°C and 29°C outcomes, as small differences in afternoon solar heating, boundary-layer mixing, or brief precipitation can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and local wind patterns add further microscale variability, while historical August averages hover around 24–25°C. Updated model runs and official observations throughout the day will refine resolution criteria for the exact daily high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 25?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?
29°C 36%
28°C 33%
27°C 17%
30°C 10.1%
NEW
$47,261 Vol.
NEW
$47,261 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
17%
28°C
33%
29°C
36%
30°C
10%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
28°C 33%
27°C 17%
30°C 10.1%
NEW
$47,261 Vol.
NEW
$47,261 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$3,492 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,851 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,648 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,124 Vol.
2%
26°C
$6,157 Vol.
4%
27°C
$6,690 Vol.
17%
28°C
$6,342 Vol.
33%
29°C
$8,700 Vol.
36%
30°C
$4,248 Vol.
10%
31°C
$2,840 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$1,169 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from Météo-France, AccuWeather, and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum of 27–28°C in Paris on August 25, 2026, with morning lows near 17°C under partly cloudy skies and a slight chance of showers. This narrow range drives the near-even market split between 28°C and 29°C outcomes, as small differences in afternoon solar heating, boundary-layer mixing, or brief precipitation can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and local wind patterns add further microscale variability, while historical August averages hover around 24–25°C. Updated model runs and official observations throughout the day will refine resolution criteria for the exact daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$47,261End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from Météo-France, AccuWeather, and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum of 27–28°C in Paris on August 25, 2026, with morning lows near 17°C under partly cloudy skies and a slight chance of showers. This narrow range drives the near-even market split between 28°C and 29°C outcomes, as small differences in afternoon solar heating, boundary-layer mixing, or brief precipitation can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and local wind patterns add further microscale variability, while historical August averages hover around 24–25°C. Updated model runs and official observations throughout the day will refine resolution criteria for the exact daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,261End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from Météo-France, AccuWeather, and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum of 27–28°C in Paris on August 25, 2026, with morning lows near 17°C under partly cloudy skies and a slight chance of showers. This narrow range drives the near-even market split between 28°C and 29°C outcomes, as small differences in afternoon solar heating, boundary-layer mixing, or brief precipitation can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and local wind patterns add further microscale variability, while historical August averages hover around 24–25°C. Updated model runs and official observations throughout the day will refine resolution criteria for the exact daily high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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