Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Beijing stations indicate a peak of 33°C on August 24 under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with afternoon temperatures rising from morning lows near 25°C amid moderate humidity and light variable winds. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for 33°C, as real-time model consensus and station observations through midday support that threshold without exceeding it, consistent with seasonal patterns where late-August highs average near 30°C but current conditions favor the upper end. A realistic challenge would require rapid afternoon cooling from unexpected heavy rain or persistent cloud cover that suppresses the daily maximum below the observed peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
33°C 100.0%
$57,334 Vol.
$57,334 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
33°C
100%
33°C 100.0%
$57,334 Vol.
$57,334 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
33°C
$6,468 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Beijing stations indicate a peak of 33°C on August 24 under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with afternoon temperatures rising from morning lows near 25°C amid moderate humidity and light variable winds. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for 33°C, as real-time model consensus and station observations through midday support that threshold without exceeding it, consistent with seasonal patterns where late-August highs average near 30°C but current conditions favor the upper end. A realistic challenge would require rapid afternoon cooling from unexpected heavy rain or persistent cloud cover that suppresses the daily maximum below the observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$57,334End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Beijing stations indicate a peak of 33°C on August 24 under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with afternoon temperatures rising from morning lows near 25°C amid moderate humidity and light variable winds. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for 33°C, as real-time model consensus and station observations through midday support that threshold without exceeding it, consistent with seasonal patterns where late-August highs average near 30°C but current conditions favor the upper end. A realistic challenge would require rapid afternoon cooling from unexpected heavy rain or persistent cloud cover that suppresses the daily maximum below the observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57,334End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Beijing stations indicate a peak of 33°C on August 24 under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with afternoon temperatures rising from morning lows near 25°C amid moderate humidity and light variable winds. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for 33°C, as real-time model consensus and station observations through midday support that threshold without exceeding it, consistent with seasonal patterns where late-August highs average near 30°C but current conditions favor the upper end. A realistic challenge would require rapid afternoon cooling from unexpected heavy rain or persistent cloud cover that suppresses the daily maximum below the observed peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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