Official forecasts from China's meteorological agencies highlight incoming thunderstorms and northeasterly flow on August 26, driving a cooling trend that positions the overnight low near 21°C as the market leader. Persistent cloud cover and scattered precipitation are expected to limit radiational cooling, keeping minima from dropping much below recent daily averages of about 20°C while suppressing daytime highs to the mid-20s. Ensemble model spreads reflect uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences whether the minimum settles at 19–20°C or edges toward 22–23°C. Historical August minima in Beijing average near 20°C, providing a baseline against which current convective patterns are evaluated ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
21°C 29%
23°C 26%
20°C 25%
19°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
2%
18°C
12%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
29%
22°C
23%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
24%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
3%
21°C 29%
23°C 26%
20°C 25%
19°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
$135 Vol.
2%
18°C
$36 Vol.
12%
19°C
$0 Vol.
25%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
29%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$46 Vol.
24%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$130 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from China's meteorological agencies highlight incoming thunderstorms and northeasterly flow on August 26, driving a cooling trend that positions the overnight low near 21°C as the market leader. Persistent cloud cover and scattered precipitation are expected to limit radiational cooling, keeping minima from dropping much below recent daily averages of about 20°C while suppressing daytime highs to the mid-20s. Ensemble model spreads reflect uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences whether the minimum settles at 19–20°C or edges toward 22–23°C. Historical August minima in Beijing average near 20°C, providing a baseline against which current convective patterns are evaluated ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$347End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from China's meteorological agencies highlight incoming thunderstorms and northeasterly flow on August 26, driving a cooling trend that positions the overnight low near 21°C as the market leader. Persistent cloud cover and scattered precipitation are expected to limit radiational cooling, keeping minima from dropping much below recent daily averages of about 20°C while suppressing daytime highs to the mid-20s. Ensemble model spreads reflect uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences whether the minimum settles at 19–20°C or edges toward 22–23°C. Historical August minima in Beijing average near 20°C, providing a baseline against which current convective patterns are evaluated ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$347End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from China's meteorological agencies highlight incoming thunderstorms and northeasterly flow on August 26, driving a cooling trend that positions the overnight low near 21°C as the market leader. Persistent cloud cover and scattered precipitation are expected to limit radiational cooling, keeping minima from dropping much below recent daily averages of about 20°C while suppressing daytime highs to the mid-20s. Ensemble model spreads reflect uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences whether the minimum settles at 19–20°C or edges toward 22–23°C. Historical August minima in Beijing average near 20°C, providing a baseline against which current convective patterns are evaluated ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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