**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Panama City’s August 26 maximum because long-range and short-range models show modest day-to-day variability around the seasonal climatological mean of ~30°C.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone fuels afternoon convection, with scattered thunderstorms expected to limit peak insolation and cap temperatures near or slightly above average. Recent model runs indicate subtle differences in timing and coverage of cloud build-up that can shift the daily high by 1–2°C, producing the observed near-even implied probabilities across the leading bins. Official climatology from sources such as IMHPA and global reanalyses confirms that August highs rarely exceed 33°C or fall below 29°C under typical trade-wind and humidity regimes, keeping resolution sensitive to the precise evolution of diurnal heating and rainfall on the 26th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 26?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 26?
32°C 25%
31°C 22%
30°C 19%
28°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
7%
30°C
19%
31°C
22%
32°C
25%
33°C
10%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 25%
31°C 22%
30°C 19%
28°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
3%
28°C
$77 Vol.
8%
29°C
$22 Vol.
7%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
22%
32°C
$5 Vol.
25%
33°C
$11 Vol.
10%
34°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$5 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Panama City’s August 26 maximum because long-range and short-range models show modest day-to-day variability around the seasonal climatological mean of ~30°C.**
Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone fuels afternoon convection, with scattered thunderstorms expected to limit peak insolation and cap temperatures near or slightly above average. Recent model runs indicate subtle differences in timing and coverage of cloud build-up that can shift the daily high by 1–2°C, producing the observed near-even implied probabilities across the leading bins. Official climatology from sources such as IMHPA and global reanalyses confirms that August highs rarely exceed 33°C or fall below 29°C under typical trade-wind and humidity regimes, keeping resolution sensitive to the precise evolution of diurnal heating and rainfall on the 26th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$150End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Panama City’s August 26 maximum because long-range and short-range models show modest day-to-day variability around the seasonal climatological mean of ~30°C.**
Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone fuels afternoon convection, with scattered thunderstorms expected to limit peak insolation and cap temperatures near or slightly above average. Recent model runs indicate subtle differences in timing and coverage of cloud build-up that can shift the daily high by 1–2°C, producing the observed near-even implied probabilities across the leading bins. Official climatology from sources such as IMHPA and global reanalyses confirms that August highs rarely exceed 33°C or fall below 29°C under typical trade-wind and humidity regimes, keeping resolution sensitive to the precise evolution of diurnal heating and rainfall on the 26th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$150End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Panama City’s August 26 maximum because long-range and short-range models show modest day-to-day variability around the seasonal climatological mean of ~30°C.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone fuels afternoon convection, with scattered thunderstorms expected to limit peak insolation and cap temperatures near or slightly above average. Recent model runs indicate subtle differences in timing and coverage of cloud build-up that can shift the daily high by 1–2°C, producing the observed near-even implied probabilities across the leading bins. Official climatology from sources such as IMHPA and global reanalyses confirms that August highs rarely exceed 33°C or fall below 29°C under typical trade-wind and humidity regimes, keeping resolution sensitive to the precise evolution of diurnal heating and rainfall on the 26th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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