Forecast consensus from models and agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather centers on a daytime high near 31–32°C for Panama City on August 25, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those outcomes. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season and Intertropical Convergence Zone often caps temperatures through cloud cover and showers, while clearer periods or stronger diurnal heating can push readings to 33°C. Trade wind strength, sea surface temperatures near 29°C, and the precise timing of thunderstorms differentiate the close probabilities, with recent model runs showing modest spread in maximums based on moisture influx from both ocean basins. Historical August averages hover near 29–30°C, underscoring how small shifts in atmospheric stability could tip the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 25?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 25?
33°C 36%
32°C 34%
31°C 21%
30°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
21%
32°C
34%
33°C
36%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 36%
32°C 34%
31°C 21%
30°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$260 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,464 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,173 Vol.
1%
29°C
$614 Vol.
4%
30°C
$695 Vol.
8%
31°C
$1,065 Vol.
21%
32°C
$458 Vol.
34%
33°C
$575 Vol.
36%
34°C
$262 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$243 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$248 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models and agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather centers on a daytime high near 31–32°C for Panama City on August 25, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those outcomes. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season and Intertropical Convergence Zone often caps temperatures through cloud cover and showers, while clearer periods or stronger diurnal heating can push readings to 33°C. Trade wind strength, sea surface temperatures near 29°C, and the precise timing of thunderstorms differentiate the close probabilities, with recent model runs showing modest spread in maximums based on moisture influx from both ocean basins. Historical August averages hover near 29–30°C, underscoring how small shifts in atmospheric stability could tip the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$7,057End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models and agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather centers on a daytime high near 31–32°C for Panama City on August 25, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those outcomes. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season and Intertropical Convergence Zone often caps temperatures through cloud cover and showers, while clearer periods or stronger diurnal heating can push readings to 33°C. Trade wind strength, sea surface temperatures near 29°C, and the precise timing of thunderstorms differentiate the close probabilities, with recent model runs showing modest spread in maximums based on moisture influx from both ocean basins. Historical August averages hover near 29–30°C, underscoring how small shifts in atmospheric stability could tip the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,057End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from models and agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather centers on a daytime high near 31–32°C for Panama City on August 25, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those outcomes. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season and Intertropical Convergence Zone often caps temperatures through cloud cover and showers, while clearer periods or stronger diurnal heating can push readings to 33°C. Trade wind strength, sea surface temperatures near 29°C, and the precise timing of thunderstorms differentiate the close probabilities, with recent model runs showing modest spread in maximums based on moisture influx from both ocean basins. Historical August averages hover near 29–30°C, underscoring how small shifts in atmospheric stability could tip the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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