Official forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on August 24, 2026, project a daytime maximum near 32°C, driving the market's near-certain positioning on that outcome. Recent model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and BBC Weather aligns with this value amid typical August wet-season conditions—high humidity, scattered showers, and moderate trade winds that limit extreme overheating while allowing peaks in the low 30s Celsius. Historical averages for the period hover around 29–30°C, but current atmospheric patterns, including reduced cloud cover in the morning hours, support the upward nudge. Traders interpret the strong consensus as reflecting reliable observational networks and minimal forecast divergence. A realistic challenge could arise from heavier afternoon convection or measurement timing at the primary reporting station, potentially shifting the official high by one degree.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 24?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$14,651 Vol.
$14,651 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$14,651 Vol.
$14,651 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on August 24, 2026, project a daytime maximum near 32°C, driving the market's near-certain positioning on that outcome. Recent model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and BBC Weather aligns with this value amid typical August wet-season conditions—high humidity, scattered showers, and moderate trade winds that limit extreme overheating while allowing peaks in the low 30s Celsius. Historical averages for the period hover around 29–30°C, but current atmospheric patterns, including reduced cloud cover in the morning hours, support the upward nudge. Traders interpret the strong consensus as reflecting reliable observational networks and minimal forecast divergence. A realistic challenge could arise from heavier afternoon convection or measurement timing at the primary reporting station, potentially shifting the official high by one degree.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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