Current forecasts from meteorological models position 16–17°C as the most likely daily high in Moscow on August 26, with trader-implied probabilities reflecting this consensus at 73.5% combined. Overcast skies, westerly flow, and scattered light precipitation are expected to limit daytime warming under late-August climatological conditions, when Moscow highs typically decline from mid-month peaks near 22°C. Official guidance clusters tightly around these values, with limited upside potential for 18°C or above due to the stable cool-air advection pattern; downside risks to 15°C remain if showers intensify. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
17°C 45%
16°C 29%
18°C 14%
15°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
11%
16°C
29%
17°C
45%
18°C
14%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 45%
16°C 29%
18°C 14%
15°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
11°C or below
$224 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$198 Vol.
1%
14°C
$330 Vol.
4%
15°C
$301 Vol.
11%
16°C
$80 Vol.
29%
17°C
$563 Vol.
45%
18°C
$130 Vol.
14%
19°C
$52 Vol.
4%
20°C
$269 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$26 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models position 16–17°C as the most likely daily high in Moscow on August 26, with trader-implied probabilities reflecting this consensus at 73.5% combined. Overcast skies, westerly flow, and scattered light precipitation are expected to limit daytime warming under late-August climatological conditions, when Moscow highs typically decline from mid-month peaks near 22°C. Official guidance clusters tightly around these values, with limited upside potential for 18°C or above due to the stable cool-air advection pattern; downside risks to 15°C remain if showers intensify. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,265End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models position 16–17°C as the most likely daily high in Moscow on August 26, with trader-implied probabilities reflecting this consensus at 73.5% combined. Overcast skies, westerly flow, and scattered light precipitation are expected to limit daytime warming under late-August climatological conditions, when Moscow highs typically decline from mid-month peaks near 22°C. Official guidance clusters tightly around these values, with limited upside potential for 18°C or above due to the stable cool-air advection pattern; downside risks to 15°C remain if showers intensify. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,265End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models position 16–17°C as the most likely daily high in Moscow on August 26, with trader-implied probabilities reflecting this consensus at 73.5% combined. Overcast skies, westerly flow, and scattered light precipitation are expected to limit daytime warming under late-August climatological conditions, when Moscow highs typically decline from mid-month peaks near 22°C. Official guidance clusters tightly around these values, with limited upside potential for 18°C or above due to the stable cool-air advection pattern; downside risks to 15°C remain if showers intensify. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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