Recent forecast guidance and seasonal patterns position 24–25°C as the most probable highs for Mexico City on August 26, aligning with August climatology of roughly 23–24°C amid the rainy season. A developing strong El Niño is contributing to above-normal temperature signals across Central America, supporting modest upward pressure on daily maxima despite typical afternoon cloud cover and convective showers that often cap peaks. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters further moderates extremes, with historical ranges rarely exceeding 26–27°C in late August. Short-term model consensus from agencies like the National Meteorological Service will refine the outlook ahead of resolution, as traders weigh these baseline conditions against any late-month warming anomalies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?
25°C 52%
24°C 33%
23°C 19%
27°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
19%
24°C
33%
25°C
52%
26°C
12%
27°C
15%
28°C or higher
12%
25°C 52%
24°C 33%
23°C 19%
27°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$5 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$64 Vol.
7%
23°C
$5 Vol.
19%
24°C
$61 Vol.
33%
25°C
$113 Vol.
52%
26°C
$0 Vol.
12%
27°C
$5 Vol.
15%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance and seasonal patterns position 24–25°C as the most probable highs for Mexico City on August 26, aligning with August climatology of roughly 23–24°C amid the rainy season. A developing strong El Niño is contributing to above-normal temperature signals across Central America, supporting modest upward pressure on daily maxima despite typical afternoon cloud cover and convective showers that often cap peaks. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters further moderates extremes, with historical ranges rarely exceeding 26–27°C in late August. Short-term model consensus from agencies like the National Meteorological Service will refine the outlook ahead of resolution, as traders weigh these baseline conditions against any late-month warming anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$258End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance and seasonal patterns position 24–25°C as the most probable highs for Mexico City on August 26, aligning with August climatology of roughly 23–24°C amid the rainy season. A developing strong El Niño is contributing to above-normal temperature signals across Central America, supporting modest upward pressure on daily maxima despite typical afternoon cloud cover and convective showers that often cap peaks. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters further moderates extremes, with historical ranges rarely exceeding 26–27°C in late August. Short-term model consensus from agencies like the National Meteorological Service will refine the outlook ahead of resolution, as traders weigh these baseline conditions against any late-month warming anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$258End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance and seasonal patterns position 24–25°C as the most probable highs for Mexico City on August 26, aligning with August climatology of roughly 23–24°C amid the rainy season. A developing strong El Niño is contributing to above-normal temperature signals across Central America, supporting modest upward pressure on daily maxima despite typical afternoon cloud cover and convective showers that often cap peaks. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters further moderates extremes, with historical ranges rarely exceeding 26–27°C in late August. Short-term model consensus from agencies like the National Meteorological Service will refine the outlook ahead of resolution, as traders weigh these baseline conditions against any late-month warming anomalies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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