Mexico City's high elevation of approximately 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, keeping August daytime highs typically in the 21–25°C range according to long-term climatology from sources like WeatherSpark and AccuWeather. The ongoing rainy season drives afternoon convection and showers that frequently cap maximum temperatures, aligning with the market's concentration around 22–23°C as the leading outcomes. Recent August 2026 model guidance shows daily highs spanning 18–26°C with no strong signals for extremes, supporting trader consensus on these values while allowing for variability from exact rain timing or cloud cover.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
23°C 40%
22°C 29%
21°C 13%
24°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
13%
22°C
29%
23°C
40%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
23°C 40%
22°C 29%
21°C 13%
24°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
16°C or below
$784 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$160 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$24 Vol.
1%
20°C
$175 Vol.
3%
21°C
$206 Vol.
13%
22°C
$1,809 Vol.
29%
23°C
$264 Vol.
40%
24°C
$523 Vol.
13%
25°C
$301 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$472 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation of approximately 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, keeping August daytime highs typically in the 21–25°C range according to long-term climatology from sources like WeatherSpark and AccuWeather. The ongoing rainy season drives afternoon convection and showers that frequently cap maximum temperatures, aligning with the market's concentration around 22–23°C as the leading outcomes. Recent August 2026 model guidance shows daily highs spanning 18–26°C with no strong signals for extremes, supporting trader consensus on these values while allowing for variability from exact rain timing or cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$4,583End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation of approximately 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, keeping August daytime highs typically in the 21–25°C range according to long-term climatology from sources like WeatherSpark and AccuWeather. The ongoing rainy season drives afternoon convection and showers that frequently cap maximum temperatures, aligning with the market's concentration around 22–23°C as the leading outcomes. Recent August 2026 model guidance shows daily highs spanning 18–26°C with no strong signals for extremes, supporting trader consensus on these values while allowing for variability from exact rain timing or cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,583End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high elevation of approximately 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, keeping August daytime highs typically in the 21–25°C range according to long-term climatology from sources like WeatherSpark and AccuWeather. The ongoing rainy season drives afternoon convection and showers that frequently cap maximum temperatures, aligning with the market's concentration around 22–23°C as the leading outcomes. Recent August 2026 model guidance shows daily highs spanning 18–26°C with no strong signals for extremes, supporting trader consensus on these values while allowing for variability from exact rain timing or cloud cover.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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