**Trader consensus on a 12°C low for Mexico City on August 24, 2026, reflects the tight alignment between official forecasts and typical late-summer conditions.** Servicio Meteorológico Nacional model runs and regional guidance consistently projected overnight minima of 11–13°C, matching the historical August average low near 13°C (56°F) at the city’s high-elevation stations. Recent observations of stable high pressure, light winds, and clear-to-partly cloudy skies favored efficient radiative cooling without the warmer, moister air associated with afternoon convection. With resolution criteria tied to the official minimum temperature reading, the narrow 12°C bin captured the highest probability once the 24-hour window closed. Only a sharp, unforecasted shift—such as stronger winds, increased cloud cover, or an anomalous warm advection event—could have displaced the outcome into adjacent bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
9°C or below 72%
10°C 12%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$6,302 Vol.
$6,302 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
72%
10°C
12%
11°C
37%
12°C
62%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 72%
10°C 12%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$6,302 Vol.
$6,302 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$80 Vol.
72%
10°C
$70 Vol.
12%
11°C
$47 Vol.
37%
12°C
$220 Vol.
62%
13°C
$586 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$352 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$3,507 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$355 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$325 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$455 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$305 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 12°C low for Mexico City on August 24, 2026, reflects the tight alignment between official forecasts and typical late-summer conditions.** Servicio Meteorológico Nacional model runs and regional guidance consistently projected overnight minima of 11–13°C, matching the historical August average low near 13°C (56°F) at the city’s high-elevation stations. Recent observations of stable high pressure, light winds, and clear-to-partly cloudy skies favored efficient radiative cooling without the warmer, moister air associated with afternoon convection. With resolution criteria tied to the official minimum temperature reading, the narrow 12°C bin captured the highest probability once the 24-hour window closed. Only a sharp, unforecasted shift—such as stronger winds, increased cloud cover, or an anomalous warm advection event—could have displaced the outcome into adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$6,302End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 12°C low for Mexico City on August 24, 2026, reflects the tight alignment between official forecasts and typical late-summer conditions.** Servicio Meteorológico Nacional model runs and regional guidance consistently projected overnight minima of 11–13°C, matching the historical August average low near 13°C (56°F) at the city’s high-elevation stations. Recent observations of stable high pressure, light winds, and clear-to-partly cloudy skies favored efficient radiative cooling without the warmer, moister air associated with afternoon convection. With resolution criteria tied to the official minimum temperature reading, the narrow 12°C bin captured the highest probability once the 24-hour window closed. Only a sharp, unforecasted shift—such as stronger winds, increased cloud cover, or an anomalous warm advection event—could have displaced the outcome into adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,302End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 12°C low for Mexico City on August 24, 2026, reflects the tight alignment between official forecasts and typical late-summer conditions.** Servicio Meteorológico Nacional model runs and regional guidance consistently projected overnight minima of 11–13°C, matching the historical August average low near 13°C (56°F) at the city’s high-elevation stations. Recent observations of stable high pressure, light winds, and clear-to-partly cloudy skies favored efficient radiative cooling without the warmer, moister air associated with afternoon convection. With resolution criteria tied to the official minimum temperature reading, the narrow 12°C bin captured the highest probability once the 24-hour window closed. Only a sharp, unforecasted shift—such as stronger winds, increased cloud cover, or an anomalous warm advection event—could have displaced the outcome into adjacent bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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