Recent official observations from Spain’s meteorological agency (AEMET) show Madrid’s temperature climbing steadily toward a daily maximum of 29°C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions typical of late August on the Meseta Central. Numerical weather models aligned closely with this outcome throughout the preceding 48 hours, with minimal spread in predicted peak values and no significant frontal activity or cloud cover to suppress daytime heating. Traders have converged on the 29°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability because real-time station data and satellite-derived surface temperatures have consistently tracked this level, leaving little room for deviation. The only realistic challenges would involve an unexpected late-day cooling surge or a post-hoc measurement revision outside the standard reporting window, both of which remain statistically improbable given current atmospheric stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
29°C 99.8%
$132,829 Vol.
$132,829 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
29°C
100%
29°C 99.8%
$132,829 Vol.
$132,829 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
29°C
$16,410 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official observations from Spain’s meteorological agency (AEMET) show Madrid’s temperature climbing steadily toward a daily maximum of 29°C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions typical of late August on the Meseta Central. Numerical weather models aligned closely with this outcome throughout the preceding 48 hours, with minimal spread in predicted peak values and no significant frontal activity or cloud cover to suppress daytime heating. Traders have converged on the 29°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability because real-time station data and satellite-derived surface temperatures have consistently tracked this level, leaving little room for deviation. The only realistic challenges would involve an unexpected late-day cooling surge or a post-hoc measurement revision outside the standard reporting window, both of which remain statistically improbable given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$132,829End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official observations from Spain’s meteorological agency (AEMET) show Madrid’s temperature climbing steadily toward a daily maximum of 29°C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions typical of late August on the Meseta Central. Numerical weather models aligned closely with this outcome throughout the preceding 48 hours, with minimal spread in predicted peak values and no significant frontal activity or cloud cover to suppress daytime heating. Traders have converged on the 29°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability because real-time station data and satellite-derived surface temperatures have consistently tracked this level, leaving little room for deviation. The only realistic challenges would involve an unexpected late-day cooling surge or a post-hoc measurement revision outside the standard reporting window, both of which remain statistically improbable given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$132,829End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official observations from Spain’s meteorological agency (AEMET) show Madrid’s temperature climbing steadily toward a daily maximum of 29°C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions typical of late August on the Meseta Central. Numerical weather models aligned closely with this outcome throughout the preceding 48 hours, with minimal spread in predicted peak values and no significant frontal activity or cloud cover to suppress daytime heating. Traders have converged on the 29°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability because real-time station data and satellite-derived surface temperatures have consistently tracked this level, leaving little room for deviation. The only realistic challenges would involve an unexpected late-day cooling surge or a post-hoc measurement revision outside the standard reporting window, both of which remain statistically improbable given current atmospheric stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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