Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 27–28°C on August 25 under partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds of 10–15 km/h, and low precipitation chances, consistent with cooling late-summer conditions after earlier heat. This positions 29°C as the market favorite at 61.5% implied probability, reflecting minor upside uncertainty in official station readings and model spread, while 28°C trails at 24%. The 30°C outcome at 12.5% captures residual potential for localized warming, though climatological baselines near 31°C have been tempered by current atmospheric patterns. Resolution hinges on the precise maximum from the primary Madrid observing site, with final model updates expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Madrid on August 25?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 25?
29°C 63%
28°C 24%
30°C 14%
27°C 4%
NEW
$29,543 Vol.
NEW
$29,543 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
24%
29°C
63%
30°C
14%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 63%
28°C 24%
30°C 14%
27°C 4%
NEW
$29,543 Vol.
NEW
$29,543 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
$502 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,311 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,070 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,940 Vol.
4%
28°C
$5,481 Vol.
24%
29°C
$6,118 Vol.
63%
30°C
$3,254 Vol.
14%
31°C
$1,558 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,225 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,268 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,815 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 27–28°C on August 25 under partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds of 10–15 km/h, and low precipitation chances, consistent with cooling late-summer conditions after earlier heat. This positions 29°C as the market favorite at 61.5% implied probability, reflecting minor upside uncertainty in official station readings and model spread, while 28°C trails at 24%. The 30°C outcome at 12.5% captures residual potential for localized warming, though climatological baselines near 31°C have been tempered by current atmospheric patterns. Resolution hinges on the precise maximum from the primary Madrid observing site, with final model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$29,543End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 27–28°C on August 25 under partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds of 10–15 km/h, and low precipitation chances, consistent with cooling late-summer conditions after earlier heat. This positions 29°C as the market favorite at 61.5% implied probability, reflecting minor upside uncertainty in official station readings and model spread, while 28°C trails at 24%. The 30°C outcome at 12.5% captures residual potential for localized warming, though climatological baselines near 31°C have been tempered by current atmospheric patterns. Resolution hinges on the precise maximum from the primary Madrid observing site, with final model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,543End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 27–28°C on August 25 under partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds of 10–15 km/h, and low precipitation chances, consistent with cooling late-summer conditions after earlier heat. This positions 29°C as the market favorite at 61.5% implied probability, reflecting minor upside uncertainty in official station readings and model spread, while 28°C trails at 24%. The 30°C outcome at 12.5% captures residual potential for localized warming, though climatological baselines near 31°C have been tempered by current atmospheric patterns. Resolution hinges on the precise maximum from the primary Madrid observing site, with final model updates expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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