Forecast models from sources including GFS and official agencies indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on August 25 will likely settle between 17–19 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds near 3–5 m/s, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling. This range aligns with climatological normals near 18.6 °C for late August while reflecting current steering patterns that keep Atlantic moisture and mild advection in place. The near-equal market weighting across 17 °C, 18 °C, and 19 °C stems from small differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the precise low by 1–2 °C at the reference station. Updated model runs and AEMET observations through dawn will determine the final recorded value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Madrid on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 25?
16°C 12%
20°C 6%
15°C or below 2%
21°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
34%
18°C
34%
19°C
35%
20°C
6%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
16°C 12%
20°C 6%
15°C or below 2%
21°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
$74 Vol.
2%
16°C
$69 Vol.
12%
17°C
$27 Vol.
34%
18°C
$24 Vol.
34%
19°C
$100 Vol.
35%
20°C
$90 Vol.
6%
21°C
$917 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$143 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$468 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,098 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$131 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and official agencies indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on August 25 will likely settle between 17–19 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds near 3–5 m/s, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling. This range aligns with climatological normals near 18.6 °C for late August while reflecting current steering patterns that keep Atlantic moisture and mild advection in place. The near-equal market weighting across 17 °C, 18 °C, and 19 °C stems from small differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the precise low by 1–2 °C at the reference station. Updated model runs and AEMET observations through dawn will determine the final recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,141End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and official agencies indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on August 25 will likely settle between 17–19 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds near 3–5 m/s, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling. This range aligns with climatological normals near 18.6 °C for late August while reflecting current steering patterns that keep Atlantic moisture and mild advection in place. The near-equal market weighting across 17 °C, 18 °C, and 19 °C stems from small differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the precise low by 1–2 °C at the reference station. Updated model runs and AEMET observations through dawn will determine the final recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,141End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and official agencies indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on August 25 will likely settle between 17–19 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds near 3–5 m/s, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling. This range aligns with climatological normals near 18.6 °C for late August while reflecting current steering patterns that keep Atlantic moisture and mild advection in place. The near-equal market weighting across 17 °C, 18 °C, and 19 °C stems from small differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the precise low by 1–2 °C at the reference station. Updated model runs and AEMET observations through dawn will determine the final recorded value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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