Miami’s late-August nocturnal temperatures are shaped by a warm, humid subtropical air mass with sea-surface temperatures near 86°F sustaining elevated boundary-layer warmth and limiting radiative cooling overnight. Light easterly winds and typical scattered diurnal convection introduce modest variability in cloud cover, which can trap or release heat and differentiate lows between the upper 70s and low 80s. With no approaching cold fronts, tropical systems, or major synoptic shifts in the latest guidance, model consensus clusters tightly around 78–81°F. Traders weigh the precise balance between these local thermodynamic factors and any last-minute adjustments in forecast soundings or marine-layer depth expected before dawn on the 26th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 26?
80-81°F 38%
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 13%
84-85°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
10%
86°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 38%
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 13%
84-85°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
67°F or below
$5 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$10 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$72 Vol.
13%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
34%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
38%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
9%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
10%
86°F or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Miami’s late-August nocturnal temperatures are shaped by a warm, humid subtropical air mass with sea-surface temperatures near 86°F sustaining elevated boundary-layer warmth and limiting radiative cooling overnight. Light easterly winds and typical scattered diurnal convection introduce modest variability in cloud cover, which can trap or release heat and differentiate lows between the upper 70s and low 80s. With no approaching cold fronts, tropical systems, or major synoptic shifts in the latest guidance, model consensus clusters tightly around 78–81°F. Traders weigh the precise balance between these local thermodynamic factors and any last-minute adjustments in forecast soundings or marine-layer depth expected before dawn on the 26th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$127End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Miami’s late-August nocturnal temperatures are shaped by a warm, humid subtropical air mass with sea-surface temperatures near 86°F sustaining elevated boundary-layer warmth and limiting radiative cooling overnight. Light easterly winds and typical scattered diurnal convection introduce modest variability in cloud cover, which can trap or release heat and differentiate lows between the upper 70s and low 80s. With no approaching cold fronts, tropical systems, or major synoptic shifts in the latest guidance, model consensus clusters tightly around 78–81°F. Traders weigh the precise balance between these local thermodynamic factors and any last-minute adjustments in forecast soundings or marine-layer depth expected before dawn on the 26th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$127End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Miami’s late-August nocturnal temperatures are shaped by a warm, humid subtropical air mass with sea-surface temperatures near 86°F sustaining elevated boundary-layer warmth and limiting radiative cooling overnight. Light easterly winds and typical scattered diurnal convection introduce modest variability in cloud cover, which can trap or release heat and differentiate lows between the upper 70s and low 80s. With no approaching cold fronts, tropical systems, or major synoptic shifts in the latest guidance, model consensus clusters tightly around 78–81°F. Traders weigh the precise balance between these local thermodynamic factors and any last-minute adjustments in forecast soundings or marine-layer depth expected before dawn on the 26th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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