Official meteorological observations and model consensus support the market's near-certain positioning on a 37°C high in Chengdu on August 24, driven by strong subsidence and clear skies across the Sichuan Basin that maximized daytime heating. Late-summer climatology shows typical peaks near 32–34°C, yet current conditions—low humidity aloft, light winds, and minimal cloud cover—pushed surface temperatures higher, consistent with verified station readings approaching that threshold. Traders assign full probability because resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration maximums, with little room for downward revision once data finalize. Only an unexpected late-day convective cell or post-hoc station adjustment could realistically alter the outcome before settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
37°C 100.0%
$77,050 Vol.
$77,050 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
37°C
100%
37°C 100.0%
$77,050 Vol.
$77,050 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
37°C
$13,997 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and model consensus support the market's near-certain positioning on a 37°C high in Chengdu on August 24, driven by strong subsidence and clear skies across the Sichuan Basin that maximized daytime heating. Late-summer climatology shows typical peaks near 32–34°C, yet current conditions—low humidity aloft, light winds, and minimal cloud cover—pushed surface temperatures higher, consistent with verified station readings approaching that threshold. Traders assign full probability because resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration maximums, with little room for downward revision once data finalize. Only an unexpected late-day convective cell or post-hoc station adjustment could realistically alter the outcome before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$77,050End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and model consensus support the market's near-certain positioning on a 37°C high in Chengdu on August 24, driven by strong subsidence and clear skies across the Sichuan Basin that maximized daytime heating. Late-summer climatology shows typical peaks near 32–34°C, yet current conditions—low humidity aloft, light winds, and minimal cloud cover—pushed surface temperatures higher, consistent with verified station readings approaching that threshold. Traders assign full probability because resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration maximums, with little room for downward revision once data finalize. Only an unexpected late-day convective cell or post-hoc station adjustment could realistically alter the outcome before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$77,050End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations and model consensus support the market's near-certain positioning on a 37°C high in Chengdu on August 24, driven by strong subsidence and clear skies across the Sichuan Basin that maximized daytime heating. Late-summer climatology shows typical peaks near 32–34°C, yet current conditions—low humidity aloft, light winds, and minimal cloud cover—pushed surface temperatures higher, consistent with verified station readings approaching that threshold. Traders assign full probability because resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration maximums, with little room for downward revision once data finalize. Only an unexpected late-day convective cell or post-hoc station adjustment could realistically alter the outcome before settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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