Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight moderating sea breezes from the Yellow Sea and increasing cloud cover as the main factors keeping Qingdao’s August 26 maximum temperature likely in the 28–32°C range, consistent with climatological August highs averaging 29–30°C. Model consensus points to partly to mostly cloudy conditions limiting daytime insolation, with southeasterly flow suppressing stronger heating that could otherwise push readings toward 34°C or above. Trader positioning favoring 33°C (41%) and 32°C (27%) reflects recent model runs showing slightly warmer boundary-layer temperatures than initial guidance, though uncertainty remains from potential shifts in the steering pattern or reduced cloudiness over the next 48 hours. Official updates from sources like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 26?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 26?
33°C 42%
32°C 28%
34°C 21%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
28%
33°C
42%
34°C
21%
35°C or higher
5%
33°C 42%
32°C 28%
34°C 21%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
$64 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$64 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$505 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$125 Vol.
1%
29°C
$11 Vol.
1%
30°C
$75 Vol.
4%
31°C
$17 Vol.
8%
32°C
$31 Vol.
28%
33°C
$89 Vol.
42%
34°C
$119 Vol.
21%
35°C or higher
$319 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight moderating sea breezes from the Yellow Sea and increasing cloud cover as the main factors keeping Qingdao’s August 26 maximum temperature likely in the 28–32°C range, consistent with climatological August highs averaging 29–30°C. Model consensus points to partly to mostly cloudy conditions limiting daytime insolation, with southeasterly flow suppressing stronger heating that could otherwise push readings toward 34°C or above. Trader positioning favoring 33°C (41%) and 32°C (27%) reflects recent model runs showing slightly warmer boundary-layer temperatures than initial guidance, though uncertainty remains from potential shifts in the steering pattern or reduced cloudiness over the next 48 hours. Official updates from sources like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,419End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight moderating sea breezes from the Yellow Sea and increasing cloud cover as the main factors keeping Qingdao’s August 26 maximum temperature likely in the 28–32°C range, consistent with climatological August highs averaging 29–30°C. Model consensus points to partly to mostly cloudy conditions limiting daytime insolation, with southeasterly flow suppressing stronger heating that could otherwise push readings toward 34°C or above. Trader positioning favoring 33°C (41%) and 32°C (27%) reflects recent model runs showing slightly warmer boundary-layer temperatures than initial guidance, though uncertainty remains from potential shifts in the steering pattern or reduced cloudiness over the next 48 hours. Official updates from sources like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,419End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight moderating sea breezes from the Yellow Sea and increasing cloud cover as the main factors keeping Qingdao’s August 26 maximum temperature likely in the 28–32°C range, consistent with climatological August highs averaging 29–30°C. Model consensus points to partly to mostly cloudy conditions limiting daytime insolation, with southeasterly flow suppressing stronger heating that could otherwise push readings toward 34°C or above. Trader positioning favoring 33°C (41%) and 32°C (27%) reflects recent model runs showing slightly warmer boundary-layer temperatures than initial guidance, though uncertainty remains from potential shifts in the steering pattern or reduced cloudiness over the next 48 hours. Official updates from sources like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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