Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from regional meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over Qingdao on August 24, 2026, with daytime warming moderated by southerly flow and high humidity supporting a peak near 31°C. Multiple model runs show consistent surface temperatures in this range, aligning with seasonal baselines for late-August coastal Shandong without significant frontal activity or cloud cover to suppress maxima. This consensus underpins the market's 100% implied probability for 31°C. Scenarios that could challenge resolution at this level include an unexpected increase in onshore marine layer moisture or localized convective development, potentially capping the high 1–2°C lower than projected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
31°C 100.0%
$23,185 Vol.
$23,185 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
31°C
100%
31°C 100.0%
$23,185 Vol.
$23,185 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
31°C
$5,782 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from regional meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over Qingdao on August 24, 2026, with daytime warming moderated by southerly flow and high humidity supporting a peak near 31°C. Multiple model runs show consistent surface temperatures in this range, aligning with seasonal baselines for late-August coastal Shandong without significant frontal activity or cloud cover to suppress maxima. This consensus underpins the market's 100% implied probability for 31°C. Scenarios that could challenge resolution at this level include an unexpected increase in onshore marine layer moisture or localized convective development, potentially capping the high 1–2°C lower than projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$23,185End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from regional meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over Qingdao on August 24, 2026, with daytime warming moderated by southerly flow and high humidity supporting a peak near 31°C. Multiple model runs show consistent surface temperatures in this range, aligning with seasonal baselines for late-August coastal Shandong without significant frontal activity or cloud cover to suppress maxima. This consensus underpins the market's 100% implied probability for 31°C. Scenarios that could challenge resolution at this level include an unexpected increase in onshore marine layer moisture or localized convective development, potentially capping the high 1–2°C lower than projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,185End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from regional meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over Qingdao on August 24, 2026, with daytime warming moderated by southerly flow and high humidity supporting a peak near 31°C. Multiple model runs show consistent surface temperatures in this range, aligning with seasonal baselines for late-August coastal Shandong without significant frontal activity or cloud cover to suppress maxima. This consensus underpins the market's 100% implied probability for 31°C. Scenarios that could challenge resolution at this level include an unexpected increase in onshore marine layer moisture or localized convective development, potentially capping the high 1–2°C lower than projected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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