**Trader consensus has coalesced around an implied 100% probability for a 28°C daily minimum in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, reflecting stable summer conditions with persistent southerly flow and high humidity suppressing radiative cooling overnight.** Official forecasts and real-time observations from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models show overnight lows holding at 27–28°C amid partly cloudy skies, dew points near 26–27°C, and light to moderate winds that limit temperature drops. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where daily minima rarely fall below the mid-20s under similar maritime influence. The market's near-certainty stems from consistent model runs and current readings showing no significant cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages or clear-sky radiational loss. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day measurement revision or station-specific microclimate effect pushing the official low to 27°C, though current data indicate low likelihood of deviation before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
28°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
29°C <1%
$3,921 Vol.
$3,921 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
27°C
1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
28°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
29°C <1%
$3,921 Vol.
$3,921 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
27°C
$675 Vol.
1%
28°C
$357 Vol.
100%
29°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around an implied 100% probability for a 28°C daily minimum in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, reflecting stable summer conditions with persistent southerly flow and high humidity suppressing radiative cooling overnight.** Official forecasts and real-time observations from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models show overnight lows holding at 27–28°C amid partly cloudy skies, dew points near 26–27°C, and light to moderate winds that limit temperature drops. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where daily minima rarely fall below the mid-20s under similar maritime influence. The market's near-certainty stems from consistent model runs and current readings showing no significant cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages or clear-sky radiational loss. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day measurement revision or station-specific microclimate effect pushing the official low to 27°C, though current data indicate low likelihood of deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$3,921End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around an implied 100% probability for a 28°C daily minimum in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, reflecting stable summer conditions with persistent southerly flow and high humidity suppressing radiative cooling overnight.** Official forecasts and real-time observations from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models show overnight lows holding at 27–28°C amid partly cloudy skies, dew points near 26–27°C, and light to moderate winds that limit temperature drops. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where daily minima rarely fall below the mid-20s under similar maritime influence. The market's near-certainty stems from consistent model runs and current readings showing no significant cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages or clear-sky radiational loss. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day measurement revision or station-specific microclimate effect pushing the official low to 27°C, though current data indicate low likelihood of deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,921End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has coalesced around an implied 100% probability for a 28°C daily minimum in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, reflecting stable summer conditions with persistent southerly flow and high humidity suppressing radiative cooling overnight.** Official forecasts and real-time observations from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models show overnight lows holding at 27–28°C amid partly cloudy skies, dew points near 26–27°C, and light to moderate winds that limit temperature drops. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where daily minima rarely fall below the mid-20s under similar maritime influence. The market's near-certainty stems from consistent model runs and current readings showing no significant cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages or clear-sky radiational loss. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day measurement revision or station-specific microclimate effect pushing the official low to 27°C, though current data indicate low likelihood of deviation before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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