**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 26°C low on August 25, with 25°C as the next most likely outcome, reflecting current forecast consensus for Qingdao's overnight minimum under stable late-summer conditions.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, persistent southerly winds, and high dew points near 76–77°F (24–25°C) are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping the daily minimum near or slightly above 26°C. Multiple models show partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation and temperatures bottoming around 26–27°C after 04:00 local time before daytime heating to 29–30°C. Some guidance includes a brief dip toward 24–25°C if cloud cover thins more than anticipated, which explains the secondary pricing on 25°C and 24°C. No significant frontal passages or typhoon influences are projected in the next 24 hours, supporting tight clustering around the 25–27°C range. Updated model runs and official observations from Chinese meteorological sources will provide the final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 25?
23°C 2%
24°C 1%
22°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
24%
25°C
32%
26°C
63%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
23°C 2%
24°C 1%
22°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$117 Vol.
1%
23°C
$75 Vol.
2%
24°C
$246 Vol.
24%
25°C
$57 Vol.
32%
26°C
$164 Vol.
63%
27°C
$493 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$455 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$455 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$439 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$455 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 26°C low on August 25, with 25°C as the next most likely outcome, reflecting current forecast consensus for Qingdao's overnight minimum under stable late-summer conditions.**
Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, persistent southerly winds, and high dew points near 76–77°F (24–25°C) are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping the daily minimum near or slightly above 26°C. Multiple models show partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation and temperatures bottoming around 26–27°C after 04:00 local time before daytime heating to 29–30°C. Some guidance includes a brief dip toward 24–25°C if cloud cover thins more than anticipated, which explains the secondary pricing on 25°C and 24°C. No significant frontal passages or typhoon influences are projected in the next 24 hours, supporting tight clustering around the 25–27°C range. Updated model runs and official observations from Chinese meteorological sources will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$3,222End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 26°C low on August 25, with 25°C as the next most likely outcome, reflecting current forecast consensus for Qingdao's overnight minimum under stable late-summer conditions.**
Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, persistent southerly winds, and high dew points near 76–77°F (24–25°C) are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping the daily minimum near or slightly above 26°C. Multiple models show partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation and temperatures bottoming around 26–27°C after 04:00 local time before daytime heating to 29–30°C. Some guidance includes a brief dip toward 24–25°C if cloud cover thins more than anticipated, which explains the secondary pricing on 25°C and 24°C. No significant frontal passages or typhoon influences are projected in the next 24 hours, supporting tight clustering around the 25–27°C range. Updated model runs and official observations from Chinese meteorological sources will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,222End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 26°C low on August 25, with 25°C as the next most likely outcome, reflecting current forecast consensus for Qingdao's overnight minimum under stable late-summer conditions.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, persistent southerly winds, and high dew points near 76–77°F (24–25°C) are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping the daily minimum near or slightly above 26°C. Multiple models show partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation and temperatures bottoming around 26–27°C after 04:00 local time before daytime heating to 29–30°C. Some guidance includes a brief dip toward 24–25°C if cloud cover thins more than anticipated, which explains the secondary pricing on 25°C and 24°C. No significant frontal passages or typhoon influences are projected in the next 24 hours, supporting tight clustering around the 25–27°C range. Updated model runs and official observations from Chinese meteorological sources will provide the final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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