Recent forecast updates from agencies including the World Meteorological Centre Beijing and Met Office indicate thundershowers and increased cloud cover over Beijing on August 26, driving trader consensus toward a highest temperature of 24–26°C. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation while promoting evaporative cooling from precipitation, lowering maxima relative to the typical late-August average near 30°C. Model spreads center on the precise timing and intensity of any frontal passage or monsoon moisture surge, which could shift outcomes by 1–2°C through differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind patterns. Historical climatology shows similar late-month transitions often produce variable daily highs, underscoring the uncertainty captured in the closely matched market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
25°C 27%
26°C 25%
24°C 16%
27°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
10%
24°C
16%
25°C
27%
26°C
25%
27°C
12%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
2%
25°C 27%
26°C 25%
24°C 16%
27°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$109 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$828 Vol.
10%
24°C
$2,105 Vol.
16%
25°C
$601 Vol.
27%
26°C
$289 Vol.
25%
27°C
$1,059 Vol.
12%
28°C
$797 Vol.
6%
29°C
$300 Vol.
4%
30°C or higher
$571 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies including the World Meteorological Centre Beijing and Met Office indicate thundershowers and increased cloud cover over Beijing on August 26, driving trader consensus toward a highest temperature of 24–26°C. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation while promoting evaporative cooling from precipitation, lowering maxima relative to the typical late-August average near 30°C. Model spreads center on the precise timing and intensity of any frontal passage or monsoon moisture surge, which could shift outcomes by 1–2°C through differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind patterns. Historical climatology shows similar late-month transitions often produce variable daily highs, underscoring the uncertainty captured in the closely matched market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,959End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies including the World Meteorological Centre Beijing and Met Office indicate thundershowers and increased cloud cover over Beijing on August 26, driving trader consensus toward a highest temperature of 24–26°C. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation while promoting evaporative cooling from precipitation, lowering maxima relative to the typical late-August average near 30°C. Model spreads center on the precise timing and intensity of any frontal passage or monsoon moisture surge, which could shift outcomes by 1–2°C through differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind patterns. Historical climatology shows similar late-month transitions often produce variable daily highs, underscoring the uncertainty captured in the closely matched market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,959End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from agencies including the World Meteorological Centre Beijing and Met Office indicate thundershowers and increased cloud cover over Beijing on August 26, driving trader consensus toward a highest temperature of 24–26°C. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation while promoting evaporative cooling from precipitation, lowering maxima relative to the typical late-August average near 30°C. Model spreads center on the precise timing and intensity of any frontal passage or monsoon moisture surge, which could shift outcomes by 1–2°C through differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind patterns. Historical climatology shows similar late-month transitions often produce variable daily highs, underscoring the uncertainty captured in the closely matched market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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