Recent forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather and the National Meteorological Service indicate Mexico City’s August 25 overnight low will likely settle near the historical average of 13–14°C, shaped by the city’s 2,240-meter elevation promoting rapid nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because August’s rainy-season cloud cover and humidity can moderate temperature drops by 1–2°C compared to clear-sky nights, while variable wind and urban heat-island effects create narrow uncertainty bands. Model runs show limited divergence in steering patterns or precipitation timing, keeping 12°C and 15°C outcomes competitive but secondary; any late-day clearing or heavier overnight rain could tip the recorded minimum by a degree either way before official observations finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
14°C 50%
17°C 49%
13°C 27%
12°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
7%
11°C
21%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
36%
15°C
26%
16°C
9%
17°C
49%
18°C
11%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 50%
17°C 49%
13°C 27%
12°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
9°C or below
$15 Vol.
1%
10°C
$85 Vol.
7%
11°C
$21 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$39 Vol.
36%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$60 Vol.
9%
17°C
$90 Vol.
49%
18°C
$140 Vol.
11%
19°C or higher
$135 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather and the National Meteorological Service indicate Mexico City’s August 25 overnight low will likely settle near the historical average of 13–14°C, shaped by the city’s 2,240-meter elevation promoting rapid nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because August’s rainy-season cloud cover and humidity can moderate temperature drops by 1–2°C compared to clear-sky nights, while variable wind and urban heat-island effects create narrow uncertainty bands. Model runs show limited divergence in steering patterns or precipitation timing, keeping 12°C and 15°C outcomes competitive but secondary; any late-day clearing or heavier overnight rain could tip the recorded minimum by a degree either way before official observations finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$585End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather and the National Meteorological Service indicate Mexico City’s August 25 overnight low will likely settle near the historical average of 13–14°C, shaped by the city’s 2,240-meter elevation promoting rapid nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because August’s rainy-season cloud cover and humidity can moderate temperature drops by 1–2°C compared to clear-sky nights, while variable wind and urban heat-island effects create narrow uncertainty bands. Model runs show limited divergence in steering patterns or precipitation timing, keeping 12°C and 15°C outcomes competitive but secondary; any late-day clearing or heavier overnight rain could tip the recorded minimum by a degree either way before official observations finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$585End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather and the National Meteorological Service indicate Mexico City’s August 25 overnight low will likely settle near the historical average of 13–14°C, shaped by the city’s 2,240-meter elevation promoting rapid nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because August’s rainy-season cloud cover and humidity can moderate temperature drops by 1–2°C compared to clear-sky nights, while variable wind and urban heat-island effects create narrow uncertainty bands. Model runs show limited divergence in steering patterns or precipitation timing, keeping 12°C and 15°C outcomes competitive but secondary; any late-day clearing or heavier overnight rain could tip the recorded minimum by a degree either way before official observations finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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