Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 26 will likely fall in the 11–13 °C range, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 12 °C and 11 °C. Northwest winds associated with a building Scandinavian anticyclone are advecting cooler maritime air, while increased cloud cover and scattered light rain suppress radiative cooling and limit the diurnal temperature drop. These conditions align closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.6 °C for the date. Updated model runs show little divergence through the resolution window, supporting trader consensus around these values with only modest probability assigned to outliers below 10 °C or above 14 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
12°C 47%
11°C 30%
10°C 27%
13°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
30%
12°C
47%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 47%
11°C 30%
10°C 27%
13°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
7°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
8°C
$5 Vol.
1%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
47%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
1%
16°C
$230 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$135 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 26 will likely fall in the 11–13 °C range, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 12 °C and 11 °C. Northwest winds associated with a building Scandinavian anticyclone are advecting cooler maritime air, while increased cloud cover and scattered light rain suppress radiative cooling and limit the diurnal temperature drop. These conditions align closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.6 °C for the date. Updated model runs show little divergence through the resolution window, supporting trader consensus around these values with only modest probability assigned to outliers below 10 °C or above 14 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$375End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 26 will likely fall in the 11–13 °C range, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 12 °C and 11 °C. Northwest winds associated with a building Scandinavian anticyclone are advecting cooler maritime air, while increased cloud cover and scattered light rain suppress radiative cooling and limit the diurnal temperature drop. These conditions align closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.6 °C for the date. Updated model runs show little divergence through the resolution window, supporting trader consensus around these values with only modest probability assigned to outliers below 10 °C or above 14 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$375End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 26 will likely fall in the 11–13 °C range, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 12 °C and 11 °C. Northwest winds associated with a building Scandinavian anticyclone are advecting cooler maritime air, while increased cloud cover and scattered light rain suppress radiative cooling and limit the diurnal temperature drop. These conditions align closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.6 °C for the date. Updated model runs show little divergence through the resolution window, supporting trader consensus around these values with only modest probability assigned to outliers below 10 °C or above 14 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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