**Trader consensus has converged sharply on a 27°C low for Panama City, Florida, on August 24, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time aggregation of official observations from regional stations, where overnight conditions—high humidity, light winds, and scattered convection—limited radiational cooling and kept the minimum near the upper end of typical August norms (historical lows average 24–26°C). National Weather Service and model guidance aligned closely with this outcome, producing a tight cluster around 26–27°C while assigning minimal odds to outliers below 24°C or above 28°C. The strong scientific consensus around these atmospheric conditions explains the dominant market-implied odds, though minor revisions in station data or timing of cloud cover could theoretically shift the recorded minimum by 1°C in edge cases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 24?
27°C 91%
25°C 37%
23°C 14%
22°C 5%
$3,605 Vol.
$3,605 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
14%
24°C
<1%
25°C
37%
26°C
19%
27°C
77%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
27°C 91%
25°C 37%
23°C 14%
22°C 5%
$3,605 Vol.
$3,605 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
$225 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$150 Vol.
5%
23°C
$122 Vol.
14%
24°C
$914 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$39 Vol.
37%
26°C
$25 Vol.
19%
27°C
$182 Vol.
77%
28°C
$600 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$675 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged sharply on a 27°C low for Panama City, Florida, on August 24, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time aggregation of official observations from regional stations, where overnight conditions—high humidity, light winds, and scattered convection—limited radiational cooling and kept the minimum near the upper end of typical August norms (historical lows average 24–26°C). National Weather Service and model guidance aligned closely with this outcome, producing a tight cluster around 26–27°C while assigning minimal odds to outliers below 24°C or above 28°C. The strong scientific consensus around these atmospheric conditions explains the dominant market-implied odds, though minor revisions in station data or timing of cloud cover could theoretically shift the recorded minimum by 1°C in edge cases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$3,605End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged sharply on a 27°C low for Panama City, Florida, on August 24, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time aggregation of official observations from regional stations, where overnight conditions—high humidity, light winds, and scattered convection—limited radiational cooling and kept the minimum near the upper end of typical August norms (historical lows average 24–26°C). National Weather Service and model guidance aligned closely with this outcome, producing a tight cluster around 26–27°C while assigning minimal odds to outliers below 24°C or above 28°C. The strong scientific consensus around these atmospheric conditions explains the dominant market-implied odds, though minor revisions in station data or timing of cloud cover could theoretically shift the recorded minimum by 1°C in edge cases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,605End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged sharply on a 27°C low for Panama City, Florida, on August 24, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time aggregation of official observations from regional stations, where overnight conditions—high humidity, light winds, and scattered convection—limited radiational cooling and kept the minimum near the upper end of typical August norms (historical lows average 24–26°C). National Weather Service and model guidance aligned closely with this outcome, producing a tight cluster around 26–27°C while assigning minimal odds to outliers below 24°C or above 28°C. The strong scientific consensus around these atmospheric conditions explains the dominant market-implied odds, though minor revisions in station data or timing of cloud cover could theoretically shift the recorded minimum by 1°C in edge cases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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