Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a 23°C minimum temperature in Beijing overnight on August 24, 2026, under partly cloudy to clear skies, light variable winds, and high humidity near 80–90% that suppresses radiative cooling. Traders have aligned strongly with these authoritative model outputs and station observations, pricing the 23°C outcome at 93% implied probability. A realistic shift to 22°C or lower would require faster-than-expected sky clearing and enhanced nocturnal heat loss, scenarios models currently assign low likelihood given the prevailing atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
23°C 99.9%
22°C 4.5%
24°C <1%
$6,811 Vol.
$6,811 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
22°C
5%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
23°C 99.9%
22°C 4.5%
24°C <1%
$6,811 Vol.
$6,811 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
22°C
$742 Vol.
5%
23°C
$1,545 Vol.
100%
24°C
$248 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a 23°C minimum temperature in Beijing overnight on August 24, 2026, under partly cloudy to clear skies, light variable winds, and high humidity near 80–90% that suppresses radiative cooling. Traders have aligned strongly with these authoritative model outputs and station observations, pricing the 23°C outcome at 93% implied probability. A realistic shift to 22°C or lower would require faster-than-expected sky clearing and enhanced nocturnal heat loss, scenarios models currently assign low likelihood given the prevailing atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$6,811End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a 23°C minimum temperature in Beijing overnight on August 24, 2026, under partly cloudy to clear skies, light variable winds, and high humidity near 80–90% that suppresses radiative cooling. Traders have aligned strongly with these authoritative model outputs and station observations, pricing the 23°C outcome at 93% implied probability. A realistic shift to 22°C or lower would require faster-than-expected sky clearing and enhanced nocturnal heat loss, scenarios models currently assign low likelihood given the prevailing atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,811End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a 23°C minimum temperature in Beijing overnight on August 24, 2026, under partly cloudy to clear skies, light variable winds, and high humidity near 80–90% that suppresses radiative cooling. Traders have aligned strongly with these authoritative model outputs and station observations, pricing the 23°C outcome at 93% implied probability. A realistic shift to 22°C or lower would require faster-than-expected sky clearing and enhanced nocturnal heat loss, scenarios models currently assign low likelihood given the prevailing atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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