Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C low in Guangzhou today due to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and expected thundershowers that limit nighttime radiative cooling over the urban heat island. Official forecasts from regional models project overnight lows near 25–27°C amid moderate rain and southwesterly flow, consistent with late-August climatology where minimums rarely dip below 25°C without a strong frontal passage. Recent updates show stable atmospheric conditions with no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative loss, keeping implied probabilities for 26°C or below under 35% combined while suppressing any upside above 28°C. Updated guidance later today could refine the exact minimum if precipitation timing shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
27°C 93%
24°C 21%
25°C 15%
26°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
21%
25°C
15%
26°C
13%
27°C
89%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 93%
24°C 21%
25°C 15%
26°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$105 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$63 Vol.
6%
24°C
$115 Vol.
21%
25°C
$6 Vol.
15%
26°C
$0 Vol.
13%
27°C
$76 Vol.
89%
28°C
$306 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$627 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$495 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C low in Guangzhou today due to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and expected thundershowers that limit nighttime radiative cooling over the urban heat island. Official forecasts from regional models project overnight lows near 25–27°C amid moderate rain and southwesterly flow, consistent with late-August climatology where minimums rarely dip below 25°C without a strong frontal passage. Recent updates show stable atmospheric conditions with no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative loss, keeping implied probabilities for 26°C or below under 35% combined while suppressing any upside above 28°C. Updated guidance later today could refine the exact minimum if precipitation timing shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,297End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C low in Guangzhou today due to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and expected thundershowers that limit nighttime radiative cooling over the urban heat island. Official forecasts from regional models project overnight lows near 25–27°C amid moderate rain and southwesterly flow, consistent with late-August climatology where minimums rarely dip below 25°C without a strong frontal passage. Recent updates show stable atmospheric conditions with no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative loss, keeping implied probabilities for 26°C or below under 35% combined while suppressing any upside above 28°C. Updated guidance later today could refine the exact minimum if precipitation timing shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,297End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C low in Guangzhou today due to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and expected thundershowers that limit nighttime radiative cooling over the urban heat island. Official forecasts from regional models project overnight lows near 25–27°C amid moderate rain and southwesterly flow, consistent with late-August climatology where minimums rarely dip below 25°C without a strong frontal passage. Recent updates show stable atmospheric conditions with no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative loss, keeping implied probabilities for 26°C or below under 35% combined while suppressing any upside above 28°C. Updated guidance later today could refine the exact minimum if precipitation timing shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions