Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily high near 33–34°C in Guangzhou on August 25, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, weak steering winds, and scattered thunderstorm activity that caps daytime heating. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger subsidence or clearer skies that would push readings to 35°C or above, while historical August averages hover around 32–33°C. Recent updates emphasize ongoing moisture from the monsoon trough, keeping cloud cover and rain chances elevated through the afternoon peak. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily, with the 34–35°C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and any last-minute model shifts before official observations finalize the day’s maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
35°C or higher 43.5%
34°C 35%
33°C 18%
32°C 7%
NEW
$19,844 Vol.
NEW
$19,844 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
18%
34°C
35%
35°C or higher
43%
35°C or higher 43.5%
34°C 35%
33°C 18%
32°C 7%
NEW
$19,844 Vol.
NEW
$19,844 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$198 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$898 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,457 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,553 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,452 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,669 Vol.
2%
32°C
$2,214 Vol.
7%
33°C
$928 Vol.
18%
34°C
$2,149 Vol.
35%
35°C or higher
$3,016 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily high near 33–34°C in Guangzhou on August 25, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, weak steering winds, and scattered thunderstorm activity that caps daytime heating. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger subsidence or clearer skies that would push readings to 35°C or above, while historical August averages hover around 32–33°C. Recent updates emphasize ongoing moisture from the monsoon trough, keeping cloud cover and rain chances elevated through the afternoon peak. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily, with the 34–35°C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and any last-minute model shifts before official observations finalize the day’s maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$19,844End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily high near 33–34°C in Guangzhou on August 25, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, weak steering winds, and scattered thunderstorm activity that caps daytime heating. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger subsidence or clearer skies that would push readings to 35°C or above, while historical August averages hover around 32–33°C. Recent updates emphasize ongoing moisture from the monsoon trough, keeping cloud cover and rain chances elevated through the afternoon peak. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily, with the 34–35°C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and any last-minute model shifts before official observations finalize the day’s maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,844End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily high near 33–34°C in Guangzhou on August 25, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, weak steering winds, and scattered thunderstorm activity that caps daytime heating. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger subsidence or clearer skies that would push readings to 35°C or above, while historical August averages hover around 32–33°C. Recent updates emphasize ongoing moisture from the monsoon trough, keeping cloud cover and rain chances elevated through the afternoon peak. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily, with the 34–35°C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and any last-minute model shifts before official observations finalize the day’s maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions