Current ensemble forecasts point to minimum temperatures in Guangzhou on August 26 clustering between 25–28 °C, consistent with the tightly bunched market-implied odds around those levels. Persistent thunderstorm activity and extensive cloud cover are limiting overnight radiative cooling under high humidity, while steering flow from the southeast maintains a narrow diurnal range. Official guidance from regional models shows only modest day-to-day shifts in the expected low, with precipitation timing remaining the key variable that could push the minimum slightly lower or higher within the favored band. Historical August lows average near 25 °C, providing climatological support for the current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
23°C 41%
29°C 38%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
6%
22°C
11%
23°C
41%
24°C
21%
25°C
21%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
38%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
1%
23°C 41%
29°C 38%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
$185 Vol.
6%
22°C
$5 Vol.
11%
23°C
$15 Vol.
41%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$140 Vol.
38%
30°C
$75 Vol.
13%
31°C or higher
$16 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts point to minimum temperatures in Guangzhou on August 26 clustering between 25–28 °C, consistent with the tightly bunched market-implied odds around those levels. Persistent thunderstorm activity and extensive cloud cover are limiting overnight radiative cooling under high humidity, while steering flow from the southeast maintains a narrow diurnal range. Official guidance from regional models shows only modest day-to-day shifts in the expected low, with precipitation timing remaining the key variable that could push the minimum slightly lower or higher within the favored band. Historical August lows average near 25 °C, providing climatological support for the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$436End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts point to minimum temperatures in Guangzhou on August 26 clustering between 25–28 °C, consistent with the tightly bunched market-implied odds around those levels. Persistent thunderstorm activity and extensive cloud cover are limiting overnight radiative cooling under high humidity, while steering flow from the southeast maintains a narrow diurnal range. Official guidance from regional models shows only modest day-to-day shifts in the expected low, with precipitation timing remaining the key variable that could push the minimum slightly lower or higher within the favored band. Historical August lows average near 25 °C, providing climatological support for the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$436End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts point to minimum temperatures in Guangzhou on August 26 clustering between 25–28 °C, consistent with the tightly bunched market-implied odds around those levels. Persistent thunderstorm activity and extensive cloud cover are limiting overnight radiative cooling under high humidity, while steering flow from the southeast maintains a narrow diurnal range. Official guidance from regional models shows only modest day-to-day shifts in the expected low, with precipitation timing remaining the key variable that could push the minimum slightly lower or higher within the favored band. Historical August lows average near 25 °C, providing climatological support for the current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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