**Trader consensus has converged strongly on a 29°C minimum for Shenzhen on August 24, 2026, reflecting the official recorded low from the primary meteorological station.** In late August, Shenzhen experiences typical subtropical monsoon conditions with daytime highs often reaching 31–33°C and overnight lows modulated by high humidity (frequently 80–90%) and cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Forecast models and station observations for the day showed persistent cloudiness and moderate rain, consistent with minimum temperatures stabilizing near or at 29°C rather than dropping further, aligning with climatological norms for the period where average lows hover around 26–28°C but can be elevated by moisture retention. This outcome carries very high implied probability because real-time data releases and historical station records confirmed the threshold without deviation. Only scenarios such as an anomalous post-midnight clear spell enabling greater cooling or a revision in the official dataset from the Shenzhen national basic meteorological station would realistically alter the result, though such shifts are uncommon once initial observations are validated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
29°C 99.5%
$14,817 Vol.
$14,817 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
29°C
100%
29°C 99.5%
$14,817 Vol.
$14,817 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
29°C
$10,400 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged strongly on a 29°C minimum for Shenzhen on August 24, 2026, reflecting the official recorded low from the primary meteorological station.** In late August, Shenzhen experiences typical subtropical monsoon conditions with daytime highs often reaching 31–33°C and overnight lows modulated by high humidity (frequently 80–90%) and cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Forecast models and station observations for the day showed persistent cloudiness and moderate rain, consistent with minimum temperatures stabilizing near or at 29°C rather than dropping further, aligning with climatological norms for the period where average lows hover around 26–28°C but can be elevated by moisture retention.
This outcome carries very high implied probability because real-time data releases and historical station records confirmed the threshold without deviation. Only scenarios such as an anomalous post-midnight clear spell enabling greater cooling or a revision in the official dataset from the Shenzhen national basic meteorological station would realistically alter the result, though such shifts are uncommon once initial observations are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$14,817End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged strongly on a 29°C minimum for Shenzhen on August 24, 2026, reflecting the official recorded low from the primary meteorological station.** In late August, Shenzhen experiences typical subtropical monsoon conditions with daytime highs often reaching 31–33°C and overnight lows modulated by high humidity (frequently 80–90%) and cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Forecast models and station observations for the day showed persistent cloudiness and moderate rain, consistent with minimum temperatures stabilizing near or at 29°C rather than dropping further, aligning with climatological norms for the period where average lows hover around 26–28°C but can be elevated by moisture retention.
This outcome carries very high implied probability because real-time data releases and historical station records confirmed the threshold without deviation. Only scenarios such as an anomalous post-midnight clear spell enabling greater cooling or a revision in the official dataset from the Shenzhen national basic meteorological station would realistically alter the result, though such shifts are uncommon once initial observations are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,817End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged strongly on a 29°C minimum for Shenzhen on August 24, 2026, reflecting the official recorded low from the primary meteorological station.** In late August, Shenzhen experiences typical subtropical monsoon conditions with daytime highs often reaching 31–33°C and overnight lows modulated by high humidity (frequently 80–90%) and cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Forecast models and station observations for the day showed persistent cloudiness and moderate rain, consistent with minimum temperatures stabilizing near or at 29°C rather than dropping further, aligning with climatological norms for the period where average lows hover around 26–28°C but can be elevated by moisture retention. This outcome carries very high implied probability because real-time data releases and historical station records confirmed the threshold without deviation. Only scenarios such as an anomalous post-midnight clear spell enabling greater cooling or a revision in the official dataset from the Shenzhen national basic meteorological station would realistically alter the result, though such shifts are uncommon once initial observations are validated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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