Forecasts for Shenzhen on August 26 point to an overnight minimum near 26–28°C, with model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional outlooks showing limited nocturnal cooling amid widespread thunderstorms, high humidity near 85–90%, and persistent cloud cover that reduces radiative heat loss. Recent days have featured similar patterns, with lows holding at 26–28°C under unstable monsoon conditions and light southerly winds. Trader sentiment reflects this range, with elevated probabilities on 26°C and 28°C outcomes alongside a notable share on cooler thresholds, highlighting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity that could briefly suppress temperatures further or allow modest clearing. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations will refine the final recorded low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
22°C or below 71%
23°C 42%
31°C 39%
26°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
71%
23°C
42%
24°C
9%
25°C
26%
26°C
30%
27°C
24%
28°C
27%
29°C
26%
30°C
29%
31°C
39%
32°C or higher
1%
22°C or below 71%
23°C 42%
31°C 39%
26°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$135 Vol.
71%
23°C
$145 Vol.
42%
24°C
$0 Vol.
9%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
24%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$150 Vol.
29%
31°C
$135 Vol.
39%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Shenzhen on August 26 point to an overnight minimum near 26–28°C, with model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional outlooks showing limited nocturnal cooling amid widespread thunderstorms, high humidity near 85–90%, and persistent cloud cover that reduces radiative heat loss. Recent days have featured similar patterns, with lows holding at 26–28°C under unstable monsoon conditions and light southerly winds. Trader sentiment reflects this range, with elevated probabilities on 26°C and 28°C outcomes alongside a notable share on cooler thresholds, highlighting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity that could briefly suppress temperatures further or allow modest clearing. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations will refine the final recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$565End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Shenzhen on August 26 point to an overnight minimum near 26–28°C, with model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional outlooks showing limited nocturnal cooling amid widespread thunderstorms, high humidity near 85–90%, and persistent cloud cover that reduces radiative heat loss. Recent days have featured similar patterns, with lows holding at 26–28°C under unstable monsoon conditions and light southerly winds. Trader sentiment reflects this range, with elevated probabilities on 26°C and 28°C outcomes alongside a notable share on cooler thresholds, highlighting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity that could briefly suppress temperatures further or allow modest clearing. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations will refine the final recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$565End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Shenzhen on August 26 point to an overnight minimum near 26–28°C, with model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional outlooks showing limited nocturnal cooling amid widespread thunderstorms, high humidity near 85–90%, and persistent cloud cover that reduces radiative heat loss. Recent days have featured similar patterns, with lows holding at 26–28°C under unstable monsoon conditions and light southerly winds. Trader sentiment reflects this range, with elevated probabilities on 26°C and 28°C outcomes alongside a notable share on cooler thresholds, highlighting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity that could briefly suppress temperatures further or allow modest clearing. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations will refine the final recorded low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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