Recent forecast updates from models and observational data at Munich Airport (EDDM) have converged on an overnight minimum near 7°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and radiative cooling typical for late August. This aligns with the market's strong 93.5% implied probability on exactly 7°C, reflecting trader consensus on station-specific readings amid seasonal norms where the long-term average low is 13.2°C. The low 18% odds on 6°C or below and near-zero pricing on warmer outcomes underscore limited model spread and stable high-pressure conditions. A shift in final hourly observations or station instrumentation could still alter resolution if temperatures edge lower than current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 24?
$4,865 Vol.
$4,865 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
11%
7°C
100%
$4,865 Vol.
$4,865 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
$75 Vol.
11%
7°C
$356 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models and observational data at Munich Airport (EDDM) have converged on an overnight minimum near 7°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and radiative cooling typical for late August. This aligns with the market's strong 93.5% implied probability on exactly 7°C, reflecting trader consensus on station-specific readings amid seasonal norms where the long-term average low is 13.2°C. The low 18% odds on 6°C or below and near-zero pricing on warmer outcomes underscore limited model spread and stable high-pressure conditions. A shift in final hourly observations or station instrumentation could still alter resolution if temperatures edge lower than current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Volume
$4,865End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models and observational data at Munich Airport (EDDM) have converged on an overnight minimum near 7°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and radiative cooling typical for late August. This aligns with the market's strong 93.5% implied probability on exactly 7°C, reflecting trader consensus on station-specific readings amid seasonal norms where the long-term average low is 13.2°C. The low 18% odds on 6°C or below and near-zero pricing on warmer outcomes underscore limited model spread and stable high-pressure conditions. A shift in final hourly observations or station instrumentation could still alter resolution if temperatures edge lower than current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,865End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from models and observational data at Munich Airport (EDDM) have converged on an overnight minimum near 7°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and radiative cooling typical for late August. This aligns with the market's strong 93.5% implied probability on exactly 7°C, reflecting trader consensus on station-specific readings amid seasonal norms where the long-term average low is 13.2°C. The low 18% odds on 6°C or below and near-zero pricing on warmer outcomes underscore limited model spread and stable high-pressure conditions. A shift in final hourly observations or station instrumentation could still alter resolution if temperatures edge lower than current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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