Recent meteorological guidance from European and global models shows Munich overnight lows on August 25 expected near 12–14 °C under a transitional high-pressure regime with light easterly flow and variable cloud cover. This narrow range reflects model spread in radiative cooling: clearer intervals promote stronger surface heat loss and lower minima near 12 °C, while increased low-level moisture or thin cloud decks limit cooling and support readings closer to 14 °C. Dew-point forecasts and boundary-layer wind shear further differentiate outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble probabilities that place the greatest likelihood on the 12–14 °C bins. Historical August climatology (average low near 13 °C) provides context, yet short-term variability in steering patterns keeps the market tightly bunched ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 25?
13°C 44%
12°C 28%
11°C 27%
15°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
10%
11°C
27%
12°C
28%
13°C
27%
14°C
32%
15°C
13%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 44%
12°C 28%
11°C 27%
15°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
$170 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$34 Vol.
10%
11°C
$30 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$80 Vol.
27%
14°C
$34 Vol.
32%
15°C
$5 Vol.
13%
16°C
$1,564 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$251 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance from European and global models shows Munich overnight lows on August 25 expected near 12–14 °C under a transitional high-pressure regime with light easterly flow and variable cloud cover. This narrow range reflects model spread in radiative cooling: clearer intervals promote stronger surface heat loss and lower minima near 12 °C, while increased low-level moisture or thin cloud decks limit cooling and support readings closer to 14 °C. Dew-point forecasts and boundary-layer wind shear further differentiate outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble probabilities that place the greatest likelihood on the 12–14 °C bins. Historical August climatology (average low near 13 °C) provides context, yet short-term variability in steering patterns keeps the market tightly bunched ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,579End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance from European and global models shows Munich overnight lows on August 25 expected near 12–14 °C under a transitional high-pressure regime with light easterly flow and variable cloud cover. This narrow range reflects model spread in radiative cooling: clearer intervals promote stronger surface heat loss and lower minima near 12 °C, while increased low-level moisture or thin cloud decks limit cooling and support readings closer to 14 °C. Dew-point forecasts and boundary-layer wind shear further differentiate outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble probabilities that place the greatest likelihood on the 12–14 °C bins. Historical August climatology (average low near 13 °C) provides context, yet short-term variability in steering patterns keeps the market tightly bunched ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,579End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological guidance from European and global models shows Munich overnight lows on August 25 expected near 12–14 °C under a transitional high-pressure regime with light easterly flow and variable cloud cover. This narrow range reflects model spread in radiative cooling: clearer intervals promote stronger surface heat loss and lower minima near 12 °C, while increased low-level moisture or thin cloud decks limit cooling and support readings closer to 14 °C. Dew-point forecasts and boundary-layer wind shear further differentiate outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble probabilities that place the greatest likelihood on the 12–14 °C bins. Historical August climatology (average low near 13 °C) provides context, yet short-term variability in steering patterns keeps the market tightly bunched ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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